SPARCCLE - Socioeconomic Pathways, Adaptation and Resilience to Changing CLimate in Europe

气候变化给社会和经济带来了许多高度不确定的影响，其风险，包括脆弱性，需要更全面的评估。这需要更好地了解气候影响、高部门和高空间粒度的适应和缓解措施之间的相互依存关系，以及更广泛的社会经济背景应对气候挑战的时间演变和能力。Tracce将通过推动和连接研究社区的知识来提供新的、尖端的方法能力。全面评估风险将需要编制细粒度的社会经济数据和预测；自下而上地分析多层面的气候脆弱性，包括性别不平等等研究不足的方面；高分辨率的概率危害、损害和缓解-适应协同作用和权衡；自上而下的综合评估框架和领先的多部门宏观经济模型；纳入跨部门和溢出效应及分配影响的社会经济分析。将部署压力测试情景，以深入了解关键的气候风险以及如何管理这些风险。与包括联合专家委员会在内的私营和公共部门利益攸关方共同设计和共同开发工具和流程，将加强开发、能力建设，弥合科学-政策-实践之间的差距；所有这些都以已建立的开放科学数据和模型为基础，并通过各种媒介传播，包括在线决策支持平台和公共宣传材料。Tracce的产出将以正在进行的气候政策雄心为指导，如使命适应和欧盟绿色协议，以提供新的见解和决策支持工具，为强有力的气候缓解和适应政策提供信息，并为欧盟的社会转型路径的设计做出贡献。

Climate change brings many highly uncertain impacts onto society and economy, and its risks, incorporating vulnerability, require more comprehensive assessments. This requires an enhanced understanding of the interdependencies between climate impacts, adaptation and mitigation measures at high sectoral and spatial granularity, and the temporal evolution and the capacity of the broader socioeconomic context to cope with the climate challenge. TRACCE will deliver new, cutting-edge methodological capabilities by advancing and linking knowledge across research communities. Comprehensive assessment of risk will entail production of granular socio-economic data and projections; bottom-up analyses of multidimensional climate vulnerabilities, including under-researched aspects such as gender inequality; high-resolution probabilistic hazards, damages and mitigation-adaptation synergies and trade-offs; top-down integrated assessment frameworks and leading multi-sectoral macro-economic models; socioeconomic analyses incorporating cross-sector and spillover effects and distributional implications. Stress-test scenarios will be deployed for an advanced understanding of the critical climate risks and how they can be managed. Tool and process co-design and co-development with private and public sector stakeholders, including the JRC will enhance exploitation, capacity building and bridge the science-policy-practice gap; all underpinned by established open science data and models and disseminated through various mediums, including online decision-support platforms and public API. TRACCE outputs will be guided by the ongoing climate policy ambitions such as Mission Adaptation and EU Green Deal to deliver new insights and decision-making support tools which inform robust climate mitigation and adaptation policy, and contribute to the design of societal transformation pathways of for the EU.