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RETIREMENT DECISION-MAKING: DETERMINANTS OF MIGRATION

退休决策：移民的决定因素

基本信息

批准号：
3114179
负责人：
Gerard Rushton
金额：
$ 5.29万
依托单位：
UNIVERSITY OF IOWA
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
财政年份：
1978
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
1978-09-01 至 1986-03-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/3114179
关键词：
decision making expectancy human middle age (35-64) interview mathematical model migrant psychometrics retirement social desirability

项目摘要

This proposal describes the continuation of an interdisciplinary research program studying retirement migration decisions. The approach adopted for this project is to sample respondents from the preretirement age group; ask each respondent to evaluate a series of hypothetical migration sites described by experimentally designed combinations of geographic, economic, and sociological factors; and derive a migration decision model for each respondent. These models are then used to better understand the retirement migration decision process and to forecast retirement migration flows. Results to date concern the distribution of preferences for specific locational attributes among a sample of 327 Iowans aged 55-64. Current work is concentrating on using these results to derive simulation models for forecasting migration flows. These forecasts are to be compared with actual age-specific migration data when these data become available from the 1980 census. Primary goals of the proposal continuation include the following: 1) examine how retirement decisions preceding migration decisions are influenced by economic factors such as social security benefits; 2) examine how placespecific factors such as crime rate affect migration decisions; 3) examine the influences of socioeconomic factors on retirement migration decisions by including a more heterogenous (multi-state) sample than had been used in the earlier research phase; 4) compare the external validity of several alternative techniques for forecasting the migration flows of retired persons.

该提案描述了跨学科研究的继续研究退休移民决策。所采用的方法该项目是从退休前年龄组中抽样调查受访者;问每个受访者评估一系列假设的迁移地点，通过实验设计的地理，经济，和社会学因素;并得出一个移民决策模型，为每一个答辩人。这些模型被用来更好地理解退休移民决策过程和预测退休移民流动。迄今为止的结果涉及对特定 327名年龄在55-64岁的爱荷华州人的样本中的位置属性。电流工作集中在使用这些结果来导出仿真模型用于预测移民流动。这些预测将与具体年龄段的实际移徙数据， 1980年人口普查。该提案延续的主要目标包括以下内容：1）研究迁移决策之前的退休决策是如何受社会保障福利等经济因素的影响; 2）检查犯罪率等具体地方因素如何影响移民决定; 3）研究社会经济因素对退休移民的影响通过包括一个更异质性（多状态）的样本，在前期研究阶段使用的量表; 4）外部效度比较的几种替代技术，退休人员。