FERTILITY AND FERTILITY CHANGE

生育率和生育率变化

• 批准号: 3320069
• 负责人: CHARLES HIRSCHMAN
• 金额: $ 15.44万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 1987
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1987-09-01 至 1995-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/3320069
• 关键词: Indonesia; Malaysia; age at marriage; agriculture; education; employment of women; ethnic group; female; fertility; human population density; human population dynamics; human subject; infant mortality; mathematical model; model design /development; social status; socioeconomics; socioenvironment; southeast Asia

This is a renewal application to continue a research project on fertility and fertility change in Southeast Asia for an additional three years. The basic objectives of the project are to explain the course of fertility transitions in Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines) in the late twentieth century and to contribute to the unification of demographic transition theory. The analytical approach is based upon multilevel models of microdata census sample files that incorporate the contextual characteristics of provinces and individual level characteristics as determinants of fertility levels and fertility change. The contextual variables include empirical indicators of the status of women, the economic roles of children, infant mortality, and the timing of marriage. The proposed extension of the research will include additional contextual variables (agricultural population density and ethnicity), the development of new analytical models, and the broadening of the time frame of the study. In addition to the 1970 and 1980 censuses for each country, the proposed research will include earlier twentieth century censuses, recent mid-decade surveys, and the 1990 census for Thailand. The project will, also include 1990 census data from the other three countries, but funding is not requested for research with these data in this proposal. The comparative and longitudinal research design of this project will allow for the development and testing of models of cumulative change that complement the standard socioeconomic models of fertility determination.

这是继续生育研究项目的续期申请