FERTILITY AND FERTILITY CHANGE

生育率和生育率变化

• 批准号: 3320071
• 负责人: CHARLES HIRSCHMAN
• 金额: $ 15.82万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 1987
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1987-09-01 至 1995-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/3320071
• 关键词: Indonesia; Malaysia; age at marriage; agriculture; education; employment of women; ethnic group; female; fertility; human population density; human population dynamics; human subject; infant mortality; mathematical model; model design /development; social status; socioeconomics; socioenvironment; southeast Asia

This is a renewal application to continue a research project on fertility and fertility change in Southeast Asia for an additional three years. The basic objectives of the project are to explain the course of fertility transitions in Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines) in the late twentieth century and to contribute to the unification of demographic transition theory. The analytical approach is based upon multilevel models of microdata census sample files that incorporate the contextual characteristics of provinces and individual level characteristics as determinants of fertility levels and fertility change. The contextual variables include empirical indicators of the status of women, the economic roles of children, infant mortality, and the timing of marriage. The proposed extension of the research will include additional contextual variables (agricultural population density and ethnicity), the development of new analytical models, and the broadening of the time frame of the study. In addition to the 1970 and 1980 censuses for each country, the proposed research will include earlier twentieth century censuses, recent mid-decade surveys, and the 1990 census for Thailand. The project will, also include 1990 census data from the other three countries, but funding is not requested for research with these data in this proposal. The comparative and longitudinal research design of this project will allow for the development and testing of models of cumulative change that complement the standard socioeconomic models of fertility determination.

这是一份延续申请，继续一个关于生育的研究项目 东南亚的生育率变化持续了三年 的 该项目的基本目标是解释生育过程， 东南亚的转型（印度尼西亚、马来西亚、泰国和 菲律宾）在二十世纪末的发展并为 人口转变理论的统一。 分析方法是 基于微数据普查样本文件的多级模型， 结合各省和个人的背景特点， 作为生育率水平和生育率决定因素的水平特征 变化 背景变量包括经验指标， 妇女地位、儿童的经济作用、婴儿死亡率以及 结婚的时机。 拟议的研究范围将包括 其他背景变量（农业人口密度和 种族），开发新的分析模型，并扩大 研究的时间框架。 除了1970年和1980年的人口普查之外， 对于每个国家，拟议的研究将包括前20 世纪人口普查、最近的十年中期调查和1990年人口普查 泰国 该项目还将包括1990年人口普查数据， 三个国家，但没有要求为这些数据的研究提供资金 在这个提议中。 本研究采用比较和纵向研究设计， 该项目将允许开发和测试累积的 补充生育率标准社会经济模型的变化 保持战略定力