权益分类	功能权益	普通用户	{{item.name}}会员
{{category.name}}	{{benefitItem.name}}

Sustainable Transport Evidence and modelling Paradigms: Cohort Household Analysis to support New Goals in Engineering design (STEP-CHANGE)

可持续交通证据和建模范式：支持工程设计新目标的群组家庭分析（STEP-CHANGE）

基本信息

批准号：
EP/I00212X/2
负责人：
Miles Tight
金额：
$ 139.11万
依托单位：
University of Birmingham
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2012
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2012 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FI00212X%2F2
关键词：
Sustainable Transport Evidence modelling Paradigms

项目摘要

There is an accepted need to promote step changes towards more sustainable urban environments, notably in transport and travel, which we will focus on. While many model-based desk-studies have aimed to simulate such environments as part of a decision support tool, they adopt many unvalidated, hypothetical assumptions, particularly in the way that major transport focused interventions might impact on both behaviour and the effectiveness of the infrastructure. There is very little real evidence of what works and what can be used to promote such changes, deriving from either the physical nature and make-up of urban environments and in the way that people choose to act and behave. This 5 year proposal will build on the momentum of major EPSRC- and ESRC-supported activity at the Institute for Transport Studies (ITS) at the University of Leeds and the Centre for Research on Socio-Cultural Change (CRESC) at the University of Manchester in order to fill this evidence gap, providing an empirically grounded frame for the modelling of transformational futures.The project seeks to produce a step change in current knowledge and practice using a mix of new data sources, methodological innovation in analysis of this diverse data, development of new planning practices and procedures and supporting modelling tools. To this end it will develop visions of urban futures of 2050 which are both resilient to external change and sustainable. The knowledge and procedures developed as part of this project will provide a foundation upon which planners and others involved in decision-making in relation to urban transport, at both local and national levels, can start to put in place the necessary changes to achieve the resilient and sustainable visions of 2050.The proposed research is ambitious and novel. We will undertake the first largely qualitative longitudinal panel study of households which focuses on their transport activity, in particular delving into questions of why they do certain things and how change might be brought about. This work will be complemented by study of historical information over longer periods of time, making use of available information from a variety of transport and non-transport databases, coupled with testimony from planners and others in two study areas who have experienced changes first hand. The task of bringing these diverse data sources together will be innovative and seek to effectively explore ways of integrating these materials in a number of different ways which recognise the complexity of decisions and practices around transport and allow us to draw some understanding of why step changes occur. We will use the results of these analyses to feed into more theoretical work which will consider firstly the potential for new planning procedures and practice and secondly new modelling tools which provide the means to help achieve the step changes necessary in transport for sustainable and resilient urban futures by 2050.

有一个公认的需要，以促进逐步改变更可持续的城市环境，特别是在交通和旅行，我们将重点关注。虽然许多基于模型的案头研究旨在模拟这种环境作为决策支持工具的一部分，他们采用了许多未经验证的假设，特别是以运输为重点的主要干预措施可能会对基础设施的行为和有效性产生影响。很少有真实的证据表明，什么是有效的，什么可以用来促进这种变化，这些变化来自城市环境的自然性质和构成，也来自人们选择的行动和行为方式。这份为期5年的提案将建立在利兹大学交通研究所（ITS）和曼彻斯特大学社会文化变化研究中心（CRESC）的EPSRC和ESRC支持的主要活动的势头之上，以填补这一证据空白，提供一个基于经验的框架，为转型的未来建模。该项目旨在产生一个阶跃变化的现有知识，实践使用新的数据来源的组合，在分析这种多样化的数据方面的方法创新，开发新的规划做法和程序以及支持建模工具。为此，它将制定2050年城市未来的愿景，既能适应外部变化，又能实现可持续发展。作为该项目的一部分开发的知识和程序将为规划者和其他参与地方和国家层面城市交通决策的人提供基础，可以开始实施必要的变革，以实现2050年的弹性和可持续愿景。我们将进行第一次主要是定性的纵向小组研究的家庭，重点是他们的交通活动，特别是深入研究的问题，为什么他们做某些事情和如何改变可能带来的。这项工作将辅之以对较长时期的历史资料的研究，利用各种运输和非运输数据库的现有资料，加上两个研究领域的规划人员和其他人亲身经历变化的证词。将这些不同的数据源汇集在一起的任务将是创新的，并寻求有效地探索以多种不同方式整合这些材料的方法，这些方式认识到交通决策和实践的复杂性，并使我们能够对为什么会发生步骤变化有所了解。我们将利用这些分析的结果来投入更多的理论工作，首先考虑新的规划程序和实践的潜力，其次是新的建模工具，这些工具提供了帮助实现到2050年可持续和有弹性的城市未来交通所需的步骤变化的手段。