Metacognitive Instruction, Confidence and Prediction Accuracy in Software Engineering (MICaPASE)

有效的预测，例如项目成本，是软件工程的一个重要方面。尽管对这一主题进行了大量的研究，但人类专家的作用一直没有得到重视。我们的目的是研究增强元认知意识对预测和信心（不确定性评估）的影响，以改进软件专业人员的预测实践。这将通过在软件专业人员作为参与者的一系列实验中发展元认知意识来完成。主要成果将是更好地理解(i)影响预测和不确定性评估技能的因素以及（ii）如何加强行业实践。研究结果将影响软件行业、其客户和其他需要在不确定环境中做出准确预测的行业。

Effective prediction, for example of project cost, is an essential aspect of software engineering. Although considerable research has been devoted to this topic, the role of human experts has been under-emphasised. Our aim is to investigate the impact of enhanced metacognitive awareness on prediction and confidence (uncertainty assessment) to improve the prediction practices of software professionals. This will be accomplished by developing metacognitive awareness during a series of experiments with software professionals as participants. The major outcomes will be a better understanding of (i) the factors that influence prediction and uncertainty assessment skills and (ii) how industry practice can be enhanced. The findings will impact the software industry, its clients and other sectors where accurate predictions are required in uncertain environments.