GCRF_NF278 Building evidence on households, firms and value chains to support economic policy decisions under COVID-19

政府间气候变化委员会与这九个国家的政策制定者合作，找出关键的研究问题，以了解“新冠肺炎”如何影响其经济，如何加快经济复苏，应该实施哪些政策干预措施，以及应该如何向最需要帮助的人提供援助。我们的联合调查员位于指定的发改委名单国家，在设计研究项目方面与政策制定者合作伙伴处于独特的地位，这些研究项目将为未来18个月的关键政策决策提供参考，从而将研究的影响最大化。我们的首席调查员，国际GC研究主任，将利用IGC的世界级研究人员网络与合作调查员合作，设计高质量和强大的研究。这项提议将使我们能够资助大约30项个人研究，所有这些研究都是针对政策制定者合作伙伴的优先事项，并建立在我们已经启动的34项COVID研究的基础上。研究将结合现有的行政数据和通过电话调查的新数据，共同调查人员可以很好地获取和熟悉这些数据。数据优先事项包括监测价值链、企业和家庭的经济活动，以及衡量政策干预对经济主体的有效性。我们将把数据和研究结果反馈给我们现有的决策者联系人，包括监测仪表板、信息图表和适当的政策选择，以促进参与国实时、以证据为基础的决策。该项目下将开展的两项主要研究活动是：-通过对行政数据和通过电话实施的精心设计的调查工具产生的新调查数据的描述性分析，监测和跟踪经济活动，重点是经济封锁后的经济复苏。进行的分析将有助于确定哪些公司和家庭受到经济危机的影响最大，他们面临的主要制约因素以及他们需要政府提供的支持。结果将通过一系列仪表盘和高频政策报告直接提供给政策制定者。-测试政策干预的有效性，方法是在以前的随机对照试验的样本框架上，衡量当前干预措施的影响，并在适当和可行的情况下，与政策制定者共同制定新的干预措施。由当地和英国的研究人员进行的比较分析将利用政策干预措施的跨国家和跨部门差异来评估这些干预措施的有效性。

IGC has worked with policymakers in the nine named countries to identify key research questions to understand how COVID-19 is impacting their economy, how the economic recovery can be accelerated, which policy interventions should be implemented and how assistance should be provided to those most in need.Our Co-Investigators, based in the named DAC-list countries, are uniquely positioned to implement a co-generation approach with policymaker partners to design research projects that will inform key policy decisions in the next 18 months and so will maximise impact from the research.Our Principal Investigator, IGC's Research Director, will leverage IGC's network of world class researchers to work with Co-Investigators to design high quality and robust research. This proposal will enable us to fund around 30 individual studies, all addressing first order priorities for policymaker partners, and building on the 34 COVID studies we have already launched.Research will combine existing administrative data, which Co-Investigators have good access to and familiarity with, and new data through phone surveys. Data priorities include monitoring value chains, firms and households' economic activity, and measuring the effectiveness of policy interventions on economic agents. We will feed data and research findings back to our existing policymaker contacts, including monitoring dashboards, infographics and appropriate policy options, to facilitate real-time, evidence-based decision making in the participating countries.The two main research activities to be carried out under this project are:- Monitoring and tracking economic activity, focusing on the post-lockdown economic recovery, through descriptive analysis of administrative data and of new survey data generated using carefully designed survey instruments implemented by phone. The analysis carried out will help identify which firms and households are most affected by the economic crisis, the main constraints they are facing and the support they need fromgovernments. Results will be made directly available to policymakers through a series of dashboards and high frequency policy reports.- Testing the effectiveness of policy interventions by building on sample frames from previous randomized control trials to measure the impact of current interventions and, where appropriate and feasible, of new interventions co-generated with policy makers. Comparative analysis undertaken by local and UK-based researchers will use crosscountry and cross-sector variation in policy interventions to assess the effectiveness of these interventions.