Containment potential and risk of spread of artemisinin resistant Plasmodium falciparum

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Significant gains have been made in the past decade in reducing falciparum malaria morbidity and mortality using artemisinin-base combination therapy (ACT) and insecticidal nets. However the recent emergence of artemisinin resistance threatens these achievements. This project will develop and use a mathematical model of malaria transmission incorporating resistance to the drugs in ACTs to investigate the probability and rate of spread of resistance into new areas endemic for malaria.