Enhancing Indonesia's Disaster Preparedness Through an Innovative Multi-Risk Management Framework with ICT ecosystems

通过创新的多风险管理框架和 ICT 生态系统加强印度尼西亚的备灾能力

• 批准号: EP/Y003284/1
• 负责人: Reyes Garcia
• 金额: $ 18.75万
• 依托单位: University of Warwick
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FY003284%2F1
• 关键词: Enhancing; Indonesia; Disaster; Preparedness; Through

Indonesia stretches along one of the most tectonically active boundaries in the world. Since 1970, earthquakes in Indonesia have led to over US$20 billion in economic losses and to hundreds of thousands of fatalities, sadly, many preventable with a better understanding of earthquake risk. Seismic risk increases over time and is exacerbated by rapid population growth and urbanisation. One of the greatest risks arises from substandard vulnerable structures, which account for a large proportion of fatalities and comprise most of existing building stock in urban and suburban regions of West Sumatra. Particularly in Padang city, such substandard structures are highly vulnerable and experienced catastrophic collapses during the 2009 West Sumatra earthquake. Whilst the Indonesian government has made some progress towards meeting the objectives set in the UN' Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, the risk of vulnerable structures in West Sumatra (one of the least developed areas in Indonesia) remains very high. As a result, there is an urgent need for better disaster preparedness, reliable vulnerability assessments and appropriate seismic risk management strategies to reduce potential losses in future earthquakes.In recent years, Information and Communications Technologies (ICTs) have been proposed to enhance the quality of data and accuracy of seismic risk calculations. Field data from building images (i.e. building categories, geo-tag location) obtained from deep learning approaches can be used to calculate the empirical vulnerability of buildings, but such information is only useful if it is calibrated with real data and integrated into earthquake risk assessment frameworks. Social media can also provide large amounts of eyewitness data (e.g. video and images) about an earthquake but harnessing this data into useful information for emergency responders, search and rescue workers, and structural engineers is still a challenge and requires the use of big data and artificial intelligence.The aim of this project is to develop an innovative, rapid and efficient framework for multi-hazard seismic risk assessment with ICT ecosystems to enhance West Sumatra's disaster preparedness, using Padang city as a pilot case study. For the first time, the developed framework will consider the effect of earthquakes, tsunami, landslides and liquefaction. The methodology will be subsequently integrated into the innovative management system KERIS. The new framework and KERIS system are expected to support West Sumatra's Regional Disaster Management Agency (BPBD) in coordinating Disaster Risk Reduction efforts and policies in West Sumatra. The collaboration brings together leading institutions of the UK (University of Warwick) and Indonesia (Unversitas Bung Hatta, Institut Teknologi Bandung, and BPBD) with expertise in the fields of structural engineering and ICT.This collaborative project has the following Objectives.1) Develop a rapid and efficient (on data management and computation) multi-hazard risk assessment methodology including data from ICT ecosystems using Padang as a pilot case study.2) Propose innovative seismic risk mitigation and DRR management strategies, including a mobile app and the integration of the new framework into a new knowledge-management system (KERIS).3) To organise workshops, seminars, networking events and visits between staff in the three universities so as to establish new long-term collaborations between them. The outcomes of the proposed research will give stakeholders in West Sumatra innovative and efficient tools for disaster mitigation, which is expected to reduce earthquake-related losses and promote sustainable development in the region.

印度尼西亚沿着世界上构造最活跃的边界之一延伸。自 1970 年以来，印度尼西亚的地震已造成超过 200 亿美元的经济损失，并导致数十万人死亡，遗憾的是，许多地震是可以通过更好地了解地震风险来预防的。地震风险随着时间的推移而增加，并因人口快速增长和城市化而加剧。最大的风险之一来自不合格的脆弱结构，这些结构造成了很大一部分死亡人数，并构成了西苏门答腊岛城市和郊区现有建筑的大部分。特别是在巴东市，此类不合标准的建筑非常脆弱，并在 2009 年西苏门答腊地震期间经历了灾难性倒塌。尽管印度尼西亚政府在实现联合国仙台减少灾害风险框架中设定的目标方面取得了一些进展，但西苏门答腊岛（印度尼西亚最不发达的地区之一）脆弱建筑物的风险仍然非常高。因此，迫切需要更好的备灾、可靠的脆弱性评估和适当的地震风险管理策略，以减少未来地震的潜在损失。近年来，人们提出了信息和通信技术（ICT）来提高数据质量和地震风险计算的准确性。通过深度学习方法获得的建筑物图像（即建筑物类别、地理标签位置）的现场数据可用于计算建筑物的经验脆弱性，但这些信息只有在用真实数据校准并集成到地震风险评估框架中才有用。社交媒体还可以提供大量有关地震的目击数据（例如视频和图像），但将这些数据转化为对应急响应人员、搜救人员和结构工程师有用的信息仍然是一项挑战，需要使用大数据和人工智能。该项目的目的是开发一个创新、快速和高效的框架，利用信息通信技术生态系统进行多灾种地震风险评估，以增强西苏门答腊省的地震风险评估 备灾，以巴东市作为试点案例研究。开发的框架将首次考虑地震、海啸、山体滑坡和液化的影响。该方法随后将被整合到创新管理系统 KERIS 中。新框架和KERIS系统预计将支持西苏门答腊省区域灾害管理局（BPBD）协调西苏门答腊省的减少灾害风险工作和政策。该合作汇集了英国（华威大学）和印度尼西亚（Unversitas Bung Hatta、Institut Teknologi Bandung 和 BPBD）在结构工程和 ICT 领域拥有专业知识的领先机构。该合作项目有以下目标。1) 开发一种快速高效（在数据管理和计算方面）的多灾害风险评估方法，包括使用来自 ICT 生态系统的数据 巴东作为试点案例研究。2) 提出创新的地震风险缓解和 DRR 管理策略，包括移动应用程序以及将新框架整合到新的知识管理系统 (KERIS) 中。3) 组织三所大学员工之间的讲习班、研讨会、联谊活动和互访，以建立新的长期合作关系。拟议研究的成果将为西苏门答腊省的利益相关者提供创新和有效的减灾工具，预计将减少与地震有关的损失并促进该地区的可持续发展。