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The 1990's: sectoral rebalancing, mobility and adaptation - the employment, self-employment and training policy lessons for the current UK recession

1990 年代：部门再平衡、流动性和适应——当前英国经济衰退的就业、自营职业和培训政策教训

基本信息

批准号：
ES/K00476X/1
负责人：
Genevieve Knight
金额：
$ 10.46万
依托单位：
University of Westminster
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2012
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2012 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FK00476X%2F1
关键词：
1990 sectoral rebalancing mobility adaptation

项目摘要

The recent recession, beginning in 2007/8, has taken a different course from previous ones, with a relatively moderate increase in unemployment initially but large cuts in public sector employment planned over the coming years. It is anticipated that the workers exiting the public-sector will be absorbed by a recovering and expanding private sector. Studies of unemployment, while important, will provide only a partial view of the transitions that are entailed by this change. Many individuals are likely to leave their former career paths and seek new ones, such as self-employment, without necessarily appearing in official unemployment figures. So we propose a broad study of the movements between industries and occupations, and of career adaptation, in which unemployment will form only a subsidiary part. The main objective of the research is to discover how the experience of the 1990s could be used to throw light on the policy issues around the planned cuts in the public sector workforce. Part of our aim is to use existing survey data to explore what subsequently happened to the individuals involved in the 1990s when there was also a deep recession and a great reduction in public sector jobs. We will also test whether there was a general movement into the private sector for these individuals. The research uses information from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) which began in 1991 and follows the same group of individuals who were selected to represent the 1991 UK population in 1991 over many years. We will use the 20 years of data covering the 1990s and early 2000s in this survey as a window on these issues. The study will take advantage of several recent developments in mobility and career theory, and will assess the relative value of occupational and industrial position (in addition to educational and skill attainments) as resources for career continuity and adaptation. In terms of method, the long 20 year period offered by the BHPS will be used to take account of individual characteristics while estimating the effects of individual and household characteristics and employment history on a range of economic and outcomes such as earnings and wellbeing. From a policy viewpoint, the study will incorporate an emphasis on the role of training in curbing the effects of an individual's forced shift from the public sector, will estimate the relative private costs to the individual and benefits of mobility, and will also generate recommendations for career counselling for those required to move from jobs or occupations through redundancy or cutbacks. Although the value of job training has been well documented in the existing literature, here we address a new question, which is the value of job training for workers facing redundancy.

2007/2008年开始的最近一次衰退采取了与以往不同的路线，最初失业率相对温和地上升，但计划在未来几年内大幅削减公共部门的就业人数。预计离开公共部门的工人将被正在恢复和扩大的私营部门所吸收。对失业问题的研究虽然重要，但只能提供对这一变化所带来的过渡的部分看法。许多人可能会离开以前的职业道路，寻求新的职业道路，如自营职业，而不一定出现在官方失业数字中。因此，我们建议对行业和职业之间的流动以及职业适应进行广泛的研究，其中失业将仅构成辅助部分。研究的主要目的是发现如何利用1990年代的经验来阐明围绕计划削减公共部门劳动力的政策问题。我们的部分目标是利用现有的调查数据来探索20世纪90年代所涉及的个人后来发生了什么，当时也出现了严重的经济衰退和公共部门工作岗位的大幅减少。我们还将检验这些人是否普遍进入私营部门。这项研究使用了英国家庭小组调查（BHPS）的信息，该调查始于1991年，并在1991年多年来一直跟踪被选为1991年英国人口代表的同一组人。我们将在本次调查中使用涵盖20世纪90年代和21世纪初的20年数据作为这些问题的窗口。这项研究将利用流动和职业理论方面的若干最新发展，并将评估职业和行业职位（除教育和技能成就外）作为职业连续性和适应资源的相对价值。在方法方面，BHPS提供的长达20年的时间将用于考虑个人特征，同时估计个人和家庭特征以及就业历史对一系列经济和结果（如收入和福利）的影响。从政策角度来看，这项研究将强调培训在遏制个人被迫离开公共部门的影响方面的作用，将估计个人的相对私人成本和流动的好处，还将为那些因裁员或裁员而不得不离开工作或职业的人提出职业咨询建议。虽然工作培训的价值已经在现有的文献中有很好的记载，在这里，我们解决一个新的问题，这是面临裁员的工人的工作培训的价值。