Games between Diversely Sophisticated Players
Games between Diversely Sophisticated Players
批准号:
ES/L003031/1
负责人:
Ran Spiegler
金额:
$25.07万
依托单位国家:
英国
项目类别:
Research Grant
财政年份:
2013
资助国家:
英国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2013 至 --
中文摘要
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英文摘要
Conventional equilibrium analysis of games presumes that all players are rational decision makers with full understanding of the game and the equilibrium behaviour of their opponents. Yet part of what makes strategic interactions interesting is players' limited, often asymmetric ability to understand the game's regularities. Conventional game theory is silent over this important dimension. The last twenty years saw a few attempts to model limited strategic sophistication, in the form of novel "equilibrium concepts" that depart from conventional Nash equilibrium, capturing phenomena such as limited depth of reasoning in one-shot interactions, or naive extrapolation from small, selective or coarse-grained samples drawn from the equilibrium distribution of play. This state of affairs, in which aspects of "boundedly rational expectations" in games are captured by distinct equilibrium concepts, is unsatisfactory. First, it turns modeling bounded rationality in games into a collection of seemingly ad-hoc tools, thus inhibiting economic applications. Second, these aspects should not be viewed as mutually exclusive. They are often artifacts of the feedback players receive when learning the equilibrium, just as conventional informational constraints are not intrinsic personal characteristics but vary from one situation to another. My objective in this project is to formulate a general game-theoretic model that can accommodate many forms of limited strategic sophistication, drawing inspiration from the textbook theory of "games with incomplete information" due to Harsanyi (1967-8). I plan to demonstrate the usefulness of this model with a number of economic applications. If successful, the project can give a major boost to theoretical and applied work on strategic interactions between players with diverse strategic sophistication.
期刊论文(2)
专著(0)
科研奖励(0)
会议论文
"Data Monkeys": A Procedural Model of Extrapolation from Partial Statistics*
“数据猴子”:从部分统计数据推断的程序模型*
DOI:
10.1093/restud/rdx004
发表时间:
2017
期刊:
The Review of Economic Studies
影响因子:
--
作者:
[Spiegler R]
通讯作者:
Spiegler R
Bayesian Networks and Boundedly Rational Expectations *
贝叶斯网络和有界理性预期 *
DOI:
10.1093/qje/qjw011
发表时间:
2016
期刊:
The Quarterly Journal of Economics
影响因子:
--
作者:
[Spiegler R]
通讯作者:
Spiegler R
STINMALE: Strategic Interactions with Machine-Learning Algorithms: The Role of Simple Beliefs
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批准号:EP/Y033361/1
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项目类别:Research Grant
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资助金额:$167.9万
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财政年份:2023
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负责人:Ran Spiegler
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依托单位:
海外基金