Investigating an Economic Longevity Dividend

调查经济长寿红利

• 批准号: ES/T002204/1
• 负责人: Andrew Scott
• 金额: $ 100.78万
• 依托单位: London Business School
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2020 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FT002204%2F1
• 关键词: Investigating; Economic; Longevity; Dividend

Between now and 2050 nearly every country around the world is expected to see an increase in its average age and in the proportion of the population aged over 65. This statistic forms the basis of an ageing society narrative that says because there will be more old people, economic growth will slow and fiscal expenditures increase due to their higher pension and health costs. The importance of this topic is recognized by the UK Government who have made an ageing society one of their 4 Grand Challenges in their Industrial Strategy (published in 2017).The ageing society narrative tends to dominate discussion and focus on the negative consequences of there being more old people. However, what receives relatively little attention is the fact that it isn't just there are more old people but how we are ageing is changing. We are, on average, living longer and are healthier for longer. The average UK citizen, for instance, has never been older but also has never had so long left to live. This is not unambiguously an ageing society. This is good news at the individual level but should also be good news for the economy.The purpose of this research is to identify more clearly how this better ageing effect works (a longevity effect), to quantify how important it is, and to focus on policy measures that can help support it so that both as individuals and as a society we gain. In other words, the research seeks to understand better the gains in life expectancy that have been achieved, the value of healthy longevity, and how to maximize the economic gains so as to achieve the positive economic outcomes from longer healthier lives rather than negative economic consequences of an ageing society.

从现在到2050年，预计世界上几乎每个国家的平均年龄和65岁以上人口比例都将增加。这一统计数据构成了老龄化社会叙事的基础，即由于将有更多的老年人，经济增长将放缓，财政支出将因养老金和医疗费用增加而增加。英国政府认识到这一主题的重要性，已将老龄化社会列为其工业战略（2017年发布）中的四大挑战之一。老龄化社会的叙述往往主导讨论，并关注老年人增多的负面影响。然而，相对较少受到关注的是，不仅有更多的老年人，而且我们的老龄化方式正在发生变化。平均而言，我们活得更长，更健康。例如，英国公民的平均年龄从未变老，但也从未有过这么长的寿命。这不是一个明确的老龄化社会。这在个人层面上是好消息，但对经济也应该是好消息。本研究的目的是更清楚地确定这种更好的老龄化效应（长寿效应）是如何发挥作用的，量化它的重要性，并关注能够帮助支持它的政策措施，以便无论是作为个人还是作为一个社会，我们都能受益。换句话说，这项研究旨在更好地了解预期寿命的增长，健康长寿的价值，以及如何最大限度地提高经济收益，以便从更长的健康生活中获得积极的经济成果，而不是老龄化社会的负面经济后果。

项目成果

Quantum Healthy Longevity for healthy people, planet, and growth.

量子健康长寿，促进健康的人类、地球和经济增长。

• DOI: 10.1016/s2666-7568(22)00267-7
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: The lancet. Healthy longevity
• 作者: Woods T

The longevity economy.

长寿经济。

• DOI: 10.1016/s2666-7568(21)00250-6
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: The lancet. Healthy longevity
• 作者: Scott AJ

Achieving a three-dimensional longevity dividend.

实现立体长寿红利。

• DOI: 10.1038/s43587-021-00074-y
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Nature aging
• 作者: Scott AJ

The rise of age-friendly jobs

老年友好型工作的兴起

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2022.100416
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
• 作者: Acemoglu D

Healthy ageing trends in England between 2002 to 2018: Improving but slowing and unequal

2002年至2018年英国健康老龄化趋势：改善但放缓且不平等

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2023.100470
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing
• 作者: Old J