A multi-country analysis of temperature-mortality associations from a climate change perspective
从气候变化角度对温度与死亡率关联进行多国分析
基本信息
- 批准号:MR/M022625/1
- 负责人:
- 金额:$ 57.77万
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:英国
- 项目类别:Research Grant
- 财政年份:2015
- 资助国家:英国
- 起止时间:2015 至 无数据
- 项目状态:已结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
Non-optimal outdoor temperature is a known risk factor for human health, with increased mortality risk associated with both high and low exposures. Several studies have attempted to quantify the related impact in a changing climate, considering the predicted increase in average temperature and extreme weather events. However, temperature-mortality associations show a substantial geographical and temporal heterogeneity that is still largely unexplained, and little is known about the factors determining vulnerability or resilience of populations to the effects of temperature. This information is critical to produce reliable impact projections under climate change, and to develop effective public health policies to attenuate the health burden. This project aims to address these research gaps by offering a systematic evaluation of the association and future impact of temperature on mortality across populations with markedly different characteristics. This project benefits from the availability of the largest data set ever collected for this purpose, including data from 384 locations within 13 countries between 1972 and 2012. Analyses will be based on flexible analytical methods recently developed for modelling complex temperature-health relationships. A first assessment will explore the role of climatological, demographic, socio-economic and infrastructural characteristics in modifying the mortality risk of temperature. This information will be used in second assessment to project the impact under composite scenarios accounting for potential changes in susceptibility due to secular trends and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies. This project will provide a comprehensive characterization of the health effects of temperature and the related climate change impact, and a platform to quantitatively evaluate the benefits of alternative public health policies and adaptation measures.
非最佳室外温度是一个已知的人类健康风险因素,与高和低暴露相关的死亡风险增加。有几项研究试图量化气候变化的相关影响,考虑到平均气温和极端天气事件的预测上升。然而,温度-死亡率的关联显示出很大的地理和时间异质性,这在很大程度上仍然是无法解释的,并知之甚少的因素决定人口的脆弱性或恢复力的温度的影响。这些信息对于在气候变化下进行可靠的影响预测,以及制定有效的公共卫生政策以减轻健康负担至关重要。该项目旨在通过系统评估温度对具有明显不同特征的人群死亡率的关联和未来影响来解决这些研究空白。该项目得益于有史以来为此目的收集的最大数据集,包括1972年至2012年期间来自13个国家384个地点的数据。分析将基于最近为模拟复杂的温度-健康关系而开发的灵活分析方法。第一次评估将探讨气候、人口、社会经济和基础设施特征在改变温度死亡风险方面的作用。这些信息将用于第二次评估,以预测综合情景下的影响,其中考虑到长期趋势和缓解和适应战略的实施可能导致的敏感性变化。该项目将全面描述温度对健康的影响和相关的气候变化影响,并提供一个平台,以定量评估替代公共卫生政策和适应措施的好处。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(10)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
Longer-Term Impact of High and Low Temperature on Mortality: An International Study to Clarify Length of Mortality Displacement.
- DOI:10.1289/ehp1756
- 发表时间:2017-10-27
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:10.4
- 作者:Armstrong B;Bell ML;de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M;Leon Guo YL;Guo Y;Goodman P;Hashizume M;Honda Y;Kim H;Lavigne E;Michelozzi P;Hilario Nascimento Saldiva P;Schwartz J;Scortichini M;Sera F;Tobias A;Tong S;Wu CF;Zanobetti A;Zeka A;Gasparrini A
- 通讯作者:Gasparrini A
Additional file 1 of Sample size issues in time series regressions of counts on environmental exposures
环境暴露计数时间序列回归中的样本大小问题的附加文件 1
- DOI:10.6084/m9.figshare.11759541
- 发表时间:2020
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:Armstrong B
- 通讯作者:Armstrong B
Additional file 3 of Sample size issues in time series regressions of counts on environmental exposures
环境暴露计数时间序列回归中的样本大小问题的附加文件 3
- DOI:10.6084/m9.figshare.11759553
- 发表时间:2020
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:Armstrong B
- 通讯作者:Armstrong B
Additional file 4 of Sample size issues in time series regressions of counts on environmental exposures
环境暴露计数时间序列回归中的样本大小问题的附加文件 4
- DOI:10.6084/m9.figshare.11759559
- 发表时间:2020
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:Armstrong B
- 通讯作者:Armstrong B
Additional file 2 of Sample size issues in time series regressions of counts on environmental exposures
环境暴露计数时间序列回归中的样本大小问题的附加文件 2
- DOI:10.6084/m9.figshare.11759547
- 发表时间:2020
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:Armstrong B
- 通讯作者:Armstrong B
{{
item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
- DOI:
{{ item.doi }} - 发表时间:
{{ item.publish_year }} - 期刊:
- 影响因子:{{ item.factor }}
- 作者:
{{ item.authors }} - 通讯作者:
{{ item.author }}
数据更新时间:{{ journalArticles.updateTime }}
{{ item.title }}
- 作者:
{{ item.author }}
数据更新时间:{{ monograph.updateTime }}
{{ item.title }}
- 作者:
{{ item.author }}
数据更新时间:{{ sciAawards.updateTime }}
{{ item.title }}
- 作者:
{{ item.author }}
数据更新时间:{{ conferencePapers.updateTime }}
{{ item.title }}
- 作者:
{{ item.author }}
数据更新时间:{{ patent.updateTime }}
Antonio Gasparrini其他文献
Estimating future heat-related and cold-related mortality under climate change, demographic and adaptation scenarios in 854 European cities
在 854 个欧洲城市中,根据气候变化、人口统计和适应情景估计未来与热相关和与冷相关的死亡率
- DOI:
10.1038/s41591-024-03452-2 - 发表时间:
2025-01-27 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:50.000
- 作者:
Pierre Masselot;Malcolm N. Mistry;Shilpa Rao;Veronika Huber;Ana Monteiro;Evangelia Samoli;Massimo Stafoggia;Francesca de’Donato;David Garcia-Leon;Juan-Carlos Ciscar;Luc Feyen;Alexandra Schneider;Klea Katsouyanni;Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera;Kristin Aunan;Antonio Gasparrini - 通讯作者:
Antonio Gasparrini
Expert judgement reveals current and emerging UK climate-mortality burden
专家判断揭示了英国当前和新兴的气候死亡率负担
- DOI:
10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00175-x - 发表时间:
2024-09-01 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:21.600
- 作者:
Dann Mitchell;Y T Eunice Lo;Emily Ball;Joanne L Godwin;Oliver Andrews;Rosa Barciela;Lea Berrang Ford;Claudia Di Napoli;Kristie L Ebi;Neven S Fučkar;Antonio Gasparrini;Brian Golding;Celia L Gregson;Gareth J Griffith;Sara Khalid;Caitlin Robinson;Daniela N Schmidt;Charles H Simpson;Robert Stephen John Sparks;Josephine G Walker - 通讯作者:
Josephine G Walker
MP25-15 DOSE RESPONSE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MEAN AMBIENT DAILY TEMPERATURES AND KIDNEY STONE OCCURRENCE
- DOI:
10.1016/j.juro.2014.02.317 - 发表时间:
2014-04-01 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:
- 作者:
Gregory Tasian;Jose Pulido;Antonio Gasparrini;Christopher Saigal;Benjamin Horton;J. Richard Landis;Rodger Madison;Ron Keren;Urologic Diseases in America Project - 通讯作者:
Urologic Diseases in America Project
Correction: Non-optimal apparent temperature and cardiovascular mortality: the association in Puducherry, India between 2011 and 2020
- DOI:
10.1186/s12889-024-20143-2 - 发表时间:
2024-09-27 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:3.600
- 作者:
Shreya S. Shrikhande;Hugo Pedder;Martin Röösli;Mohamed Aqiel Dalvie;Ravivarman Lakshmanasamy;Antonio Gasparrini;Jürg Utzinger;Guéladio Cissé - 通讯作者:
Guéladio Cissé
Municipality assessment of temperature-related mortality risks in Norway
挪威与温度相关的死亡率风险的市政评估
- DOI:
10.1016/j.envres.2024.120614 - 发表时间:
2025-02-01 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:7.700
- 作者:
Liliana Vázquez Fernández;Alfonso Diz-Lois Palomares;Ana María Vicedo-Cabrera;Antonio Gasparrini;Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio;Francesco Di Ruscio;Pierre Masselot;Torbjørn Wisløff;Shilpa Rao-Skirbekk - 通讯作者:
Shilpa Rao-Skirbekk
Antonio Gasparrini的其他文献
{{
item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
- DOI:
{{ item.doi }} - 发表时间:
{{ item.publish_year }} - 期刊:
- 影响因子:{{ item.factor }}
- 作者:
{{ item.authors }} - 通讯作者:
{{ item.author }}
{{ truncateString('Antonio Gasparrini', 18)}}的其他基金
Investigating health risks of environmental stressors in the UK Biobank cohort
调查英国生物银行队列中环境压力因素的健康风险
- 批准号:
MR/Y003330/1 - 财政年份:2023
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Research Grant
Current and future temperature-related mortality and morbidity in the UK: a public health and climate change perspective
英国当前和未来与温度相关的死亡率和发病率:公共卫生和气候变化的视角
- 批准号:
MR/V034162/1 - 财政年份:2022
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Research Grant
Half a degree Additional warming: Prognosis and Projected Impacts on Health (HAPPI-Health)
半度额外变暖:预后和预计对健康的影响(HAPPI-Health)
- 批准号:
NE/R009384/1 - 财政年份:2018
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Research Grant
The case time series design: a new tool for big data analysis
案例时间序列设计:大数据分析的新工具
- 批准号:
MR/R013349/1 - 财政年份:2018
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Research Grant
A general conceptual and statistical framework to model non-linear and delayed exposure-response relationships and combi
用于建模非线性和延迟暴露-反应关系和组合的通用概念和统计框架
- 批准号:
G1002296/1 - 财政年份:2011
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Fellowship
相似海外基金
Characterizing chemical threat agent exposures using a lung-on-a-chip platform and multi-omic analysis of common pathophysiological mechanisms
使用芯片肺平台和常见病理生理机制的多组学分析来表征化学威胁剂暴露
- 批准号:
10708553 - 财政年份:2023
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
A Multi-site Investigation of Social Determinants of Health and SARS-CoV-2 Testing and Vaccination Outcomes among Diverse US Latinx Adults
对美国不同拉丁裔成年人的健康社会决定因素以及 SARS-CoV-2 检测和疫苗接种结果进行多地点调查
- 批准号:
10881574 - 财政年份:2023
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
MR Fingerprinting based Quantitative Imaging and Analysis Platform (MRF-QIA) for brain tumors.
基于 MR 指纹的脑肿瘤定量成像和分析平台 (MRF-QIA)。
- 批准号:
10593584 - 财政年份:2023
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Social determinants of fatty liver disease and its racial/ethnic disparities: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis
脂肪肝疾病的社会决定因素及其种族/民族差异:动脉粥样硬化的多民族研究
- 批准号:
10649813 - 财政年份:2023
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Using policy codesign to achieve multi-sector alignment in adolescent behavioral health
利用政策协同设计实现青少年行为健康的多部门协调
- 批准号:
10724024 - 财政年份:2023
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Racialization and Cardiovascular Risk Factors among Latinos - An Intersectional Approach
拉丁美洲人的种族化和心血管危险因素 - 交叉方法
- 批准号:
10553295 - 财政年份:2022
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
CoVPN 3008 A Phase 3, Multi-Center, Randomized, Efficacy Study of COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine in Regions with SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern
CoVPN 3008 COVID-19 mRNA 疫苗在 SARS-CoV-2 变异关注地区的 3 期、多中心、随机、功效研究
- 批准号:
10493538 - 财政年份:2022
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Scaling Low-Barrier Care to Engage People with Complex Needs in HIV Treatment
扩大低门槛护理,让有复杂需求的人参与艾滋病毒治疗
- 批准号:
10460853 - 财政年份:2022
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Emergence of bedaquiline, pretomanid and linezolid resistance after implementation of new drug-resistant tuberculosis regimens in South Africa
南非实施新的耐药结核病治疗方案后出现贝达喹啉、前托马尼和利奈唑胺耐药性
- 批准号:
10606031 - 财政年份:2022
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别:
Los AngeleS Voices on Oil, Community, Environment and Salud (LAS VOCES) Study
洛杉矶石油、社区、环境和健康之声 (LAS VOCES) 研究
- 批准号:
10568990 - 财政年份:2022
- 资助金额:
$ 57.77万 - 项目类别: