GCRF Urban Disaster Risk Hub

该中心将为未来城市的穷人减少灾害风险。未能将灾害风险抵御能力纳入城市规划和决策是一项持续存在的棘手挑战，它使世界数亿贫困人口的生活和生计不断遭受周期性破坏。它是在不断扩大的城市系统中实现可持续发展目标的主要障碍。科学和技术可以提供帮助，但只有在发展中国家复杂的城市生活和社会文化背景下才能提供帮助。以科学为基础的城市化，与城市当局的决策支持共同产生并适当结合起来，为全球数百万贫困人口提供了风险敏感发展的可能性。这是一个重大机遇——预计到2030年，约60%的城市面积尚未建成。我们的目标是通过与国际治理组织合作，在四个合作城市和全球范围内促进从危机管理向风险知情规划的过渡。该中心从一开始就与当地和国际利益攸关方共同设计，将通过对四个城市系统（伊斯坦布尔、加德满都、内罗毕和基多）的综合研究来实现这一议程。这四个城市系统的选择是基于它们面临的多重灾害、城市形态、发展状况和治理的多样性。以前的全球挑战研究基金、牛顿基金和英国研究理事会项目中值得信赖的核心伙伴关系为城市研究项目提供了坚实的基础，这些项目围绕已确定的、现有的政策干预措施建立起来，为当前具体的发展问题提供研究解决方案。我们开发了创新的、战略性的研究和影响基金以及有能力的管理流程，以不断监测进展，并加强成功的研究方向和影响途径。在每个城市系统中，该中心将通过以下方式降低1-4百万人的风险：(1)共同开展风险根源、脆弱性驱动因素的法医检查，并对关键历史多灾害事件的决策文化进行趋势分析。(2)利用地球观测、公民科学、低成本传感器和高分辨率调查的进展，将定量、多灾害强度、暴露和脆弱性分析与制度和权力分析相结合，使多灾害风险评估与城市规划文化和工程相结合。(3)召集社区、学校、市政当局、私营企业、国家机构等不同利益相关方，围绕对多灾种城市灾害风险的新认识，促进参与和创新，做出对风险敏感的发展选择，以帮助实现可持续发展目标和仙台框架。影响将发生在中心的生命周期之内和之外，并将提高城市在全球风险分析和政策制定中的可见度。城市伙伴关系将整合城市主管部门、研究人员、社区领袖和私营部门，将制定并拥有多项倡议，包括反映个人经验并为城市发展规划提供信息的高分辨率、经过验证的多灾害风险模型，灾害风险监测、评估和审计的工具和方法，以及为减轻未来发展风险而提出的规划政策建议。城市伙伴关系将与国家和区域城市网络、政策倡导者和联合国机构合作，利用研究成果构建城市和社区计划，以响应仙台框架和有针对性的可持续发展目标指标，并建立报告方法和能力，并对可持续发展目标和仙台报告过程进行更广泛的批评。城市和国际合作伙伴将通过风险评估和弹性建设工具的所有权来实现遗产，这些合作伙伴将确定需求、拥有、修改和部署超出中心生命周期的工具。

The Hub will reduce disaster risk for the poor in tomorrow's cities. The failure to integrate disaster risk resilience into urban planning and decision-making is a persistent intractable challenge that condemns hundreds of millions of the World's poor to continued cyclical destruction of their lives and livelihoods. It presents a major barrier to the delivery of the Sustainable Development Goals in expanding urban systems. Science and technology can help, but only against complex multi-hazard context of urban life and the social and cultural background to decision-making in developing countries. Science-informed urbanisation, co-produced and properly integrated with decision support for city authorities, offers the possibility of risk-sensitive development for millions of the global poor. This is a major opportunity - some 60% of the area expected to be urban by 2030 is yet to be built. Our aim is to catalyse a transition from crisis management to risk-informed planning in four partner cities and globally through collaborating International governance organisations. The Hub, co-designed with local and international stakeholders from the start, will deliver this agenda through integrated research across four urban systems - Istanbul, Kathmandu, Nairobi and Quito - chosen for their multi-hazard exposure, and variety of urban form, development status and governance. Trusted core partnerships from previous Global Challenge Research Fund, Newton Fund and UK Research Council projects provide solid foundations on which city based research projects have been built around identified, existing, policy interventions to provide research solutions to specific current development problems. We have developed innovative, strategic research and impact funds and capable management processes constantly to monitor progress and to reinforce successful research directions and impact pathways.In each urban system, the Hub will reduce risk for 1-4 million people by (1) Co-producing forensic examinations of risk root causes, drivers of vulnerability and trend analysis of decision-making culture for key, historic multi-hazard events. (2) Combining quantitative, multi-hazard intensity, exposure and vulnerability analysis using advances in earth observation, citizen science, low cost sensors and high-resolution surveys with institutional and power analysis to allow multi-hazard risk assessment to interface with urban planning culture and engineering. (3) Convene diverse stakeholder groups-communities, schools, municipalities private enterprise, national agencies- around new understanding of multi-hazard urban disaster risk stimulating engagement and innovation in making risk-sensitive development choices to help meet the SDGs and Sendai Framework. Impact will occur both within and beyond the life of the Hub and will raise the visibility of cities in global risk analysis and policy making. City Partnerships, integrating city authorities, researchers, community leaders and the private sector, will develop and own initiatives including high-resolution validated models of multi-hazard risk to reflect individual experience and inform urban development planning, tools and methods for monitoring, evaluation and audit of disaster risk, and recommendations for planning policy to mitigate risks in future development. City partnerships will collaborate with national and regional city networks, policy champions and UN agencies using research outputs to structure city and community plans responding to the Sendai Framework and targeted SDG indicators, and build methods and capacity for reporting and wider critique of the SDG and Sendai reporting process. Legacy will be enabled through the ownership of risk assessment and resilience building tools by city and international partners who will identify need, own, modify and deploy tools beyond the life of the Hub.