Forecasting the impacts of drought on human-modified tropical forests by integrating models with data

通过模型与数据相结合来预测干旱对人工改造热带森林的影响

• 批准号: NE/S01537X/1
• 负责人: Tommaso Jucker
• 金额: $ 78.18万
• 依托单位: University of Bristol
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2019 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FS01537X%2F1
• 关键词: Forecasting; impacts; drought; human; modified

Tropical forests are among the most biodiverse ecosystems on the planet and play a critical role in slowing climate change by absorbing huge amounts of CO2 from the atmosphere through photosynthesis. Yet these ecological powerhouses are increasingly under threat from rampant deforestation and a rise in the frequency of extreme climate events such as droughts. Understanding how tropical forests will respond to these pressures has therefore emerged as a key priority for ongoing efforts to safeguard their biodiversity and the services they provide to society. Working in Borneo - where deforestation rates since the 1970s have been among the highest in the world - this project will explore the extent to which logging tropical forests jeopardises their ability to cope with drought. By combining field experiments with cutting-edge 3D remote sensing technologies and process-based modelling, I aim to uncover how drought impacts the carbon cycle of logged tropical forests: from the growth and survival of seedlings on the forest floor to the dynamics of whole ecosystems across Borneo. In doing so I will shed light on the limits of tropical forests to withstand climate change and develop the tools needed for protecting these ecosystems as we strive to transition towards a more sustainable future.

热带森林是地球上生物多样性最丰富的生态系统之一，通过光合作用从大气中吸收大量二氧化碳，在减缓气候变化方面发挥着关键作用。然而，这些生态发电站正日益受到猖獗的森林砍伐和干旱等极端气候事件频率上升的威胁。因此，了解热带森林将如何应对这些压力已成为当前努力保护其生物多样性及其为社会提供的服务的一个关键优先事项。在婆罗洲工作-自20世纪70年代以来，那里的森林砍伐率一直是世界上最高的-该项目将探索砍伐热带森林对科普干旱能力的危害程度。通过将实地实验与尖端的3D遥感技术和基于过程的建模相结合，我的目标是揭示干旱如何影响被砍伐的热带森林的碳循环：从森林地面上幼苗的生长和存活到婆罗洲整个生态系统的动态。在此过程中，我将阐明热带森林承受气候变化的局限性，并在我们努力向更可持续的未来过渡时开发保护这些生态系统所需的工具。

项目成果

Leech blood-meal invertebrate-derived DNA reveals differences in Bornean mammal diversity across habitats.

• DOI: 10.1111/mec.15724
• 发表时间: 2021-07
• 期刊: Molecular ecology
• 影响因子: 4.9
• 作者: Drinkwater R;Jucker T;Potter JHT;Swinfield T;Coomes DA;Slade EM;Gilbert MTP;Lewis OT;Bernard H;Struebig MJ;Clare EL;Rossiter SJ
• 通讯作者: Rossiter SJ

The number of tree species on Earth.

• DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2115329119
• 发表时间: 2022-02-08
• 期刊: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
• 影响因子: 11.1
• 作者: Cazzolla Gatti R;Reich PB;Gamarra JGP;Crowther T;Hui C;Morera A;Bastin JF;de-Miguel S;Nabuurs GJ;Svenning JC;Serra-Diaz JM;Merow C;Enquist B;Kamenetsky M;Lee J;Zhu J;Fang J;Jacobs DF;Pijanowski B;Banerjee A;Giaquinto RA;Alberti G;Almeyda Zambrano AM;Alvarez-Davila E;Araujo-Murakami A;Avitabile V;Aymard GA;Balazy R;Baraloto C;Barroso JG;Bastian ML;Birnbaum P;Bitariho R;Bogaert J;Bongers F;Bouriaud O;Brancalion PHS;Brearley FQ;Broadbent EN;Bussotti F;Castro da Silva W;César RG;Češljar G;Chama Moscoso V;Chen HYH;Cienciala E;Clark CJ;Coomes DA;Dayanandan S;Decuyper M;Dee LE;Del Aguila Pasquel J;Derroire G;Djuikouo MNK;Van Do T;Dolezal J;Đorđević IĐ;Engel J;Fayle TM;Feldpausch TR;Fridman JK;Harris DJ;Hemp A;Hengeveld G;Herault B;Herold M;Ibanez T;Jagodzinski AM;Jaroszewicz B;Jeffery KJ;Johannsen VK;Jucker T;Kangur A;Karminov VN;Kartawinata K;Kennard DK;Kepfer-Rojas S;Keppel G;Khan ML;Khare PK;Kileen TJ;Kim HS;Korjus H;Kumar A;Kumar A;Laarmann D;Labrière N;Lang M;Lewis SL;Lukina N;Maitner BS;Malhi Y;Marshall AR;Martynenko OV;Monteagudo Mendoza AL;Ontikov PV;Ortiz-Malavasi E;Pallqui Camacho NC;Paquette A;Park M;Parthasarathy N;Peri PL;Petronelli P;Pfautsch S;Phillips OL;Picard N;Piotto D;Poorter L;Poulsen JR;Pretzsch H;Ramírez-Angulo H;Restrepo Correa Z;Rodeghiero M;Rojas Gonzáles RDP;Rolim SG;Rovero F;Rutishauser E;Saikia P;Salas-Eljatib C;Schepaschenko D;Scherer-Lorenzen M;Šebeň V;Silveira M;Slik F;Sonké B;Souza AF;Stereńczak KJ;Svoboda M;Taedoumg H;Tchebakova N;Terborgh J;Tikhonova E;Torres-Lezama A;van der Plas F;Vásquez R;Viana H;Vibrans AC;Vilanova E;Vos VA;Wang HF;Westerlund B;White LJT;Wiser SK;Zawiła-Niedźwiecki T;Zemagho L;Zhu ZX;Zo-Bi IC;Liang J
• 通讯作者: Liang J

No evidence for fractal scaling in canopy surfaces across a diverse range of forest types

• DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.14244
• 发表时间: 2023-12
• 期刊: Journal of Ecology
• 影响因子: 5.5
• 作者: F. Fischer;T. Jucker

Using repeat airborne LiDAR to map the growth of individual oil palms in Malaysian Borneo during the 2015-16 El Niño

使用重复机载激光雷达绘制 2015-16 厄尔尼诺现象期间马来西亚婆罗洲各个油棕的生长情况

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2022.103117
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
• 影响因子: 7.5
• 作者: Beese L

Taking the pulse of Earth's tropical forests using networks of highly distributed plots

• DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108849
• 发表时间: 2021-07-27
• 期刊: BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
• 影响因子: 5.9
• 作者: Blundo, Cecilia;Carilla, Julieta;Tran, Hieu Dang
• 通讯作者: Tran, Hieu Dang