Forecasting the impacts of drought on human-modified tropical forests by integrating models with data

通过模型与数据相结合来预测干旱对人工改造热带森林的影响

• 批准号: NE/S01537X/1
• 负责人: Tommaso Jucker
• 金额: $ 78.18万
• 依托单位: University of Bristol
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2019 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FS01537X%2F1
• 关键词: Forecasting; impacts; drought; human; modified

Tropical forests are among the most biodiverse ecosystems on the planet and play a critical role in slowing climate change by absorbing huge amounts of CO2 from the atmosphere through photosynthesis. Yet these ecological powerhouses are increasingly under threat from rampant deforestation and a rise in the frequency of extreme climate events such as droughts. Understanding how tropical forests will respond to these pressures has therefore emerged as a key priority for ongoing efforts to safeguard their biodiversity and the services they provide to society. Working in Borneo - where deforestation rates since the 1970s have been among the highest in the world - this project will explore the extent to which logging tropical forests jeopardises their ability to cope with drought. By combining field experiments with cutting-edge 3D remote sensing technologies and process-based modelling, I aim to uncover how drought impacts the carbon cycle of logged tropical forests: from the growth and survival of seedlings on the forest floor to the dynamics of whole ecosystems across Borneo. In doing so I will shed light on the limits of tropical forests to withstand climate change and develop the tools needed for protecting these ecosystems as we strive to transition towards a more sustainable future.

热带森林是地球上最生物多样性的生态系统之一，在通过光合作用中吸收大气中的大量二氧化碳来减缓气候变化方面发挥着关键作用。然而，这些生态强国越来越受到泛滥森林砍伐和极端气候事件（例如干旱）的频率的威胁。因此，了解热带森林将如何应对这些压力，这已成为持续努力保护其生物多样性及其为社会提供的服务的关键重点。该项目在婆罗洲（1970年代以来一直是世界上最高的森林砍伐率之一），该项目将探索伐木热带森林危害他们应对干旱的能力的程度。通过将现场实验与最先进的3D遥感技术和基于过程的建模相结合，我旨在发现干旱如何影响登录的热带森林的碳循环：从森林地面上的幼苗的生长和存活到整个婆罗洲的整个生态系统的动态。这样一来，我将阐明热带森林的极限，以承受气候变化，并开发保护这些生态系统所需的工具，因为我们努力过渡到更可持续的未来。

项目成果

Leech blood-meal invertebrate-derived DNA reveals differences in Bornean mammal diversity across habitats.

• DOI: 10.1111/mec.15724
• 发表时间: 2021-07
• 期刊: Molecular ecology
• 影响因子: 4.9
• 作者: Drinkwater R;Jucker T;Potter JHT;Swinfield T;Coomes DA;Slade EM;Gilbert MTP;Lewis OT;Bernard H;Struebig MJ;Clare EL;Rossiter SJ
• 通讯作者: Rossiter SJ

The number of tree species on Earth.

• DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2115329119
• 发表时间: 2022-02-08
• 期刊: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
• 影响因子: 11.1
• 作者: Cazzolla Gatti R;Reich PB;Gamarra JGP;Crowther T;Hui C;Morera A;Bastin JF;de-Miguel S;Nabuurs GJ;Svenning JC;Serra-Diaz JM;Merow C;Enquist B;Kamenetsky M;Lee J;Zhu J;Fang J;Jacobs DF;Pijanowski B;Banerjee A;Giaquinto RA;Alberti G;Almeyda Zambrano AM;Alvarez-Davila E;Araujo-Murakami A;Avitabile V;Aymard GA;Balazy R;Baraloto C;Barroso JG;Bastian ML;Birnbaum P;Bitariho R;Bogaert J;Bongers F;Bouriaud O;Brancalion PHS;Brearley FQ;Broadbent EN;Bussotti F;Castro da Silva W;César RG;Češljar G;Chama Moscoso V;Chen HYH;Cienciala E;Clark CJ;Coomes DA;Dayanandan S;Decuyper M;Dee LE;Del Aguila Pasquel J;Derroire G;Djuikouo MNK;Van Do T;Dolezal J;Đorđević IĐ;Engel J;Fayle TM;Feldpausch TR;Fridman JK;Harris DJ;Hemp A;Hengeveld G;Herault B;Herold M;Ibanez T;Jagodzinski AM;Jaroszewicz B;Jeffery KJ;Johannsen VK;Jucker T;Kangur A;Karminov VN;Kartawinata K;Kennard DK;Kepfer-Rojas S;Keppel G;Khan ML;Khare PK;Kileen TJ;Kim HS;Korjus H;Kumar A;Kumar A;Laarmann D;Labrière N;Lang M;Lewis SL;Lukina N;Maitner BS;Malhi Y;Marshall AR;Martynenko OV;Monteagudo Mendoza AL;Ontikov PV;Ortiz-Malavasi E;Pallqui Camacho NC;Paquette A;Park M;Parthasarathy N;Peri PL;Petronelli P;Pfautsch S;Phillips OL;Picard N;Piotto D;Poorter L;Poulsen JR;Pretzsch H;Ramírez-Angulo H;Restrepo Correa Z;Rodeghiero M;Rojas Gonzáles RDP;Rolim SG;Rovero F;Rutishauser E;Saikia P;Salas-Eljatib C;Schepaschenko D;Scherer-Lorenzen M;Šebeň V;Silveira M;Slik F;Sonké B;Souza AF;Stereńczak KJ;Svoboda M;Taedoumg H;Tchebakova N;Terborgh J;Tikhonova E;Torres-Lezama A;van der Plas F;Vásquez R;Viana H;Vibrans AC;Vilanova E;Vos VA;Wang HF;Westerlund B;White LJT;Wiser SK;Zawiła-Niedźwiecki T;Zemagho L;Zhu ZX;Zo-Bi IC;Liang J
• 通讯作者: Liang J

No evidence for fractal scaling in canopy surfaces across a diverse range of forest types

• DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.14244
• 发表时间: 2023-12
• 期刊: Journal of Ecology
• 影响因子: 5.5
• 作者: F. Fischer;T. Jucker

Using repeat airborne LiDAR to map the growth of individual oil palms in Malaysian Borneo during the 2015-16 El Niño

使用重复机载激光雷达绘制 2015-16 厄尔尼诺现象期间马来西亚婆罗洲各个油棕的生长情况

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2022.103117
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
• 影响因子: 7.5
• 作者: Beese L

Taking the pulse of Earth's tropical forests using networks of highly distributed plots

• DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108849
• 发表时间: 2021-07-27
• 期刊: BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
• 影响因子: 5.9
• 作者: Blundo, Cecilia;Carilla, Julieta;Tran, Hieu Dang
• 通讯作者: Tran, Hieu Dang