A novel proxy for Arctic sea surface temperatures (PAST)

北极海面温度（过去）的新型代理

• 批准号: NE/X009416/1
• 负责人: Simon Belt
• 金额: $ 10.29万
• 依托单位: Plymouth University
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FX009416%2F1
• 关键词: novel; proxy; Arctic; sea; surface

Earth's climate is influenced by a suite of dynamic interactions between the marine, terrestrial and atmospheric environments. Heat exchange between the oceans and the atmosphere are particular important and is reflected, in part, by sea surface temperature (SST). As a result, SST is used as a key parameter for assessing changes to Earth's climate in the past and is also a central feature when predicting future change. The determination of past SST is traditionally carried out using so-called proxy methods applied to geological archives of Earth's history, many of which are recorded in marine sediments underlying the world's oceans. Of the many proxy methods for SST reconstruction, those based on the distributions of lipid chemicals made by marine organisms are some of the most developed and commonly used. The basic principle is that lipid distributions are controlled by the temperature in which their host organisms grow. At the end of their life cycle, such organisms are deposited into underlying ocean sediments where their fossilised remains, including their lipids, are preserved. As such, the original SST is preserved in the geological record and can be reconstructed by analysis of relevant lipids in well-dated sediment cores. A number of lipid-based SST proxies exist, and have been used with great success over the last four decades or so to reconstruct SST for temperate-tropical regions over timescales spanning Earth's history; however, no existing methods work for the characteristically low temperatures (typically <5 degrees Celcius) of the Arctic and Antarctic, which represent approximately 25% of the world's oceans. The reasons for this failure are (1) A general absence of the source organisms at high latitudes; (2) Arctic and Antarctic SST are below the accepted calibration ranges of traditional lipid-based SST proxies. Both limitations will be addressed in PAST by investigating a novel SST proxy based on some so-called highly branched isoprenoid (HBI) lipids (HBIs III&IV) made by certain phytoplankton common to the Arctic and Antarctic, and whose distribution is hypothesised to be controlled by chemical kinetics, rather than biological function, so should follow a strict temperature dependence over all temperatures. This hypothesis, although unusual for biological systems, is nonetheless supported by some preliminary data, which provide the platform for further investigation in PAST. There are two related approaches to be taken in PAST. The first is to test the aforementioned temperature control over HBI lipid distributions through the analysis of Arctic and Antarctic phytoplankton samples for which temperature data are also available. Findings from these data will be used to calibrate the temperature-lipid distribution relationship within the source environment. The second approach is to test the same temperature-lipid distribution relationship in the recent geological record through the analysis of surface and short core marine sediments from the Arctic that represent timeframes (recent decades to centuries) for which temperature data are also available. To broaden the scope of the new SST proxy, water column samples from a temperate location (Western English Channel; Temperature range = 8-16 degrees Celcius) will also be analysed. Once calibrated/tested, the new SST proxy will thus enable scientists, for the first time, to accurately reconstruct Arctic SSTs within Earth's history, and to determine complementary SST data for other regions. Such data are critical for the improvement of climate hindcasting and prediction models such as those used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

地球的气候受到海洋、陆地和大气环境之间一系列动态相互作用的影响。海洋和大气之间的热交换特别重要，部分反映在海面温度上。因此，SST被用作评估过去地球气候变化的关键参数，也是预测未来变化的核心特征。过去SST的确定传统上是使用适用于地球历史地质档案的所谓代用方法进行的，其中许多记录在世界海洋下面的海洋沉积物中。在众多的SST代用指标重建方法中，基于海洋生物产生的脂类化学物质分布的方法是最成熟和最常用的。基本原理是脂质分布受其宿主生物生长的温度控制。在其生命周期结束时，这些生物体被沉积到底层海洋沉积物中，在那里保存了它们的化石遗骸，包括它们的脂质。因此，原始SST保存在地质记录中，并可通过分析年代久远的沉积物岩心中的相关脂类来重建。在过去的四十年里，许多基于脂质的SST代用品已经成功地用于重建跨越地球历史的时间尺度上的温带-热带地区的SST;然而，没有现有的方法适用于北极和南极的典型低温（通常<5摄氏度），这代表了世界海洋的约25%。这一失败的原因是：（1）在高纬度地区普遍缺乏源生物;（2）北极和南极SST低于传统的基于脂质的SST代用品的可接受的校准范围。这两个局限性将在过去通过调查一种新的SST代理的基础上，一些所谓的高度分支的类异戊二烯（HBI）脂质（HBIs III和IV）由某些浮游植物共同的北极和南极，其分布假设是由化学动力学控制，而不是生物功能，所以应该遵循严格的温度依赖性在所有的温度。这一假设虽然在生物系统中不常见，但仍得到了一些初步数据的支持，这些数据为PAST的进一步研究提供了平台。在PAST中有两种相关的方法。第一个是通过分析北极和南极的浮游植物样本来测试上述对HBI脂质分布的温度控制，这些样本也有温度数据。这些数据的结果将用于校准源环境中的温度-脂质分布关系。第二种方法是通过分析北极的表层和短岩心海洋沉积物来检验最近地质记录中相同的温度-脂质分布关系，这些沉积物代表了也可获得温度数据的时间范围（最近几十年至几百年）。为了扩大新的SST代用指标的范围，还将分析来自温带地区（西英吉利海峡;温度范围= 8-16摄氏度）的水柱样本。一旦校准/测试，新的SST代用品将使科学家首次能够准确地重建地球历史上的北极SST，并确定其他地区的补充SST数据。这些数据对于改进政府间气候变化专门委员会（气专委）使用的气候后报和预测模型至关重要。