Exploring the Impacts of Climatic Change on Perennial Crop Species

据预测，气候变化对农业系统的影响将是满足不断增长的全球人口需求的主要障碍。与一年生作物相比，多年生作物的研究很少，因此气候变化对葡萄（葡萄属vinifera L.）和可可（Theobroma cacao L.）。然而，随着包括新的卫星测量和气候模型在内的数据集的时间和空间分辨率的提高，现在可以利用这些数据，开始利用平均和极端气候的变化，在农业相关规模上预测气候变化对非周年系统的影响。因此，该项目将使用机械模型来更好地了解气候变化将如何影响多年生作物的产量和质量。这将有助于制定缓解战略，帮助为多年生作物的未来生产提供信息。该项目福尔斯属于BBSRC战略优先领域“农业和粮食安全”，包括响应模式优先事项“可持续地提高农业生产”和"生物科学的系统方法“。

Climate change impacts on agricultural systems are predicted to be a major impediment to meeting the needs of the growing global population. In comparison to annual crops, perennial crops are little studied and thus the impacts of changing climate is less well understood on species such as grapes (Vitis vinifera L.) and cacoa (Theobroma cacao L.). However, with increasing temporal and spatial resolution of datasets including new satellite measurements and climate models, the data are now available to start to predict the impact of changing climate on non-annual systems on an agriculturally relevant scale using both the changes in mean and extreme climates. As a result, this project will use mechanistic modelling to better understand how, for better or worse, climate change will affect the yield and quality of perennial crops. This will subsequently enable the production of mitigation strategies which will be used to help inform the future production of perennial crops. This project falls under the BBSRC Strategic Priority Area of 'Agriculture and Food Security', incorporating the responsive mode priorities 'Sustainably enhancing agricultural production' and 'Systems approaches to the biosciences'.