Exploring the Impacts of Climatic Change on Perennial Crop Species

气候变化对农业系统的影响预计将是满足不断增长的全球人口需求的主要障碍。与一年生作物相比，多年生作物研究较少，因此对气候变化对葡萄(Vitis vinifera L.)等物种的影响了解较少。和可可豆(Theobroma Cacao L.)然而，随着包括新的卫星测量和气候模型在内的数据集的时间和空间分辨率不断提高，这些数据现在可以开始利用平均气候和极端气候的变化在农业相关的尺度上预测气候变化对非年度系统的影响。因此，该项目将使用机械建模来更好地了解气候变化将如何影响多年生作物的产量和质量。这将使随后能够制定缓解战略，以帮助为多年生作物的未来生产提供信息。该项目属于BBSRC战略优先领域“农业和粮食安全”，纳入了应对模式优先事项“可持续提高农业生产”和“生物科学系统方法”。

Climate change impacts on agricultural systems are predicted to be a major impediment to meeting the needs of the growing global population. In comparison to annual crops, perennial crops are little studied and thus the impacts of changing climate is less well understood on species such as grapes (Vitis vinifera L.) and cacoa (Theobroma cacao L.). However, with increasing temporal and spatial resolution of datasets including new satellite measurements and climate models, the data are now available to start to predict the impact of changing climate on non-annual systems on an agriculturally relevant scale using both the changes in mean and extreme climates. As a result, this project will use mechanistic modelling to better understand how, for better or worse, climate change will affect the yield and quality of perennial crops. This will subsequently enable the production of mitigation strategies which will be used to help inform the future production of perennial crops. This project falls under the BBSRC Strategic Priority Area of 'Agriculture and Food Security', incorporating the responsive mode priorities 'Sustainably enhancing agricultural production' and 'Systems approaches to the biosciences'.