How Perceptions of Parties Evolve Following Leadership Change: Evidence from Panel data and Computer-assisted Content Analysis of News Coverage

领导层更迭后政党的看法如何演变：来自小组数据和计算机辅助新闻报道内容分析的证据

• 批准号: 2275450
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of Strathclyde
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Studentship
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2019 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2275450
• 关键词: How; Perceptions; Parties; Evolve; Following

The aim of this project is to study voter perceptions of party leaders by estimating the impact of leadership change and its media coverage on public attitudes using advanced tools for evaluating voter opinions and media content. Recent events in the United Kingdom create unique opportunities to examine leadership change's effects on voter perceptions; all seven major national and regional British parties changed leaders since 2015. Fifteen waves (and counting) of the British Election Study (BES) Internet Panel tracked the same voters' attitudes towards parties before and after leader transitions producing unique data to estimate within-respondent attitude change. Evaluating individuals' attitudes before and after change, the panel data structure empowers the project to determine leadership change's effect on the same individual's perceptions. Developments in computer-assisted content analysis further enables the project to identify the pathways and environment determining leadership change. Data from major daily newspapers will be merged with the BES to assess the moderating impact of media coverage. By combining the novel research design using panel data with advanced tools for revealing underlying voter support for parties and content analysis of media data, the project aims to conclusively identify leadership change's effects on voter opinions.

该项目的目的是研究选民对政党领导人的看法，方法是利用评估选民意见和媒体内容的先进工具，估计领导人更迭及其媒体报道对公众态度的影响。英国最近发生的事件为研究领导层更迭对选民看法的影响创造了独特的机会;自2015年以来，英国所有七个主要的全国性和地区性政党都更换了领导人。英国选举研究（BES）互联网小组的15波（和计数）跟踪了相同的选民对政党的态度之前和之后的领导人过渡产生独特的数据来估计受访者内的态度变化。评估个人的态度之前和之后的变化，面板数据结构授权项目，以确定领导层的变化对同一个人的看法的影响。计算机辅助内容分析的发展进一步使该项目能够确定决定领导变革的途径和环境。来自主要日报的数据将与BES合并，以评估媒体报道的调节作用。通过将使用面板数据的新颖研究设计与揭示潜在选民对政党的支持和媒体数据内容分析的先进工具相结合，该项目旨在最终确定领导层变更对选民意见的影响。