Will life be tougher in the tropics? The evidence for latitudinal variation in vulnerability to climate change

热带地区的生活会更艰难吗？

• 批准号: DP140102815
• 负责人: Prof Carla Sgro
• 金额: $ 25.37万
• 依托单位: Monash University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2014-01-01 至 2017-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP140102815
• 关键词: Will; life; tougher; tropics; evidence

There is an urgent need to accurately assess the vulnerability of species to climate change. Tropical species, which make up the vast majority of the world’s biodiversity, are predicted to be most at risk from climate change. These predictions of risk and vulnerability ignore the ameliorating factors of evolutionary adaptation and phenotypic plasticity, making them inherently uncertain. This project will address this uncertainty by assessing the importance of evolutionary adaptation and phenotypic plasticity for responses to climate change in tropical and temperature species. This will provide a spatially explicit framework for the accurate assessment of risk and vulnerability to climate change.

迫切需要准确评估物种对气候变化的脆弱性。热带物种占世界生物多样性的绝大多数，预计受到气候变化的威胁最大。这些对风险和脆弱性的预测忽略了进化适应和表型可塑性的改善因素，使它们具有内在的不确定性。该项目将通过评估热带和温带物种对气候变化反应的进化适应和表型可塑性的重要性来解决这种不确定性。这将为准确评估气候变化的风险和脆弱性提供一个明确的空间框架。