The determination of a new global GPS-derived surface velocity field and its application to the problem of 20th century sea-level rise

一种新的全球 GPS 导出的表面速度场的确定及其在解决 20 世纪海平面上升问题中的应用

• 批准号: NE/E004806/1
• 负责人: Matt King
• 金额: $ 22.05万
• 依托单位: Durham University
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2008
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2008 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FE004806%2F1
• 关键词: determination; new; global; GPS; derived

This project addresses the current uncertainty in 20th Century global sea level rise estimates (1.5-2.0 mm/yr). These estimates of global sea level rise and its water mass contributors are primarily derived from space geodetic (altimetry, time-variable gravity, etc.) and tide gauge measurements. Accurate measurements of these are, however, complicated by a lack of confidence in accurately correcting global tide gauge (TG) measurements for their vertical motion which prevent true sea level rise from being measured. Likewise, accurate, precise and geographically widespread surface velocity measurements are needed to constrain models of Earth's rebound from previous ice melting (glacial isostatic adjustment, GIA), for example in Antarctica. Uncertainty in GIA measurements are, perhaps most importantly, a limiting factor in obtaining accurate ice mass gain/loss estimates from GRACE (a recent satellite mission that 'weighs' the Earth). In both cases, Global Positioning System (GPS) time series offer important constraints and, indeed, have been installed in many of the critical locations. However, to date there is still uncertainty and bias in GPS time series at the 1-2mm/yr level in the vertical site velocity, mainly due to insufficient GPS signal modelling (e.g., troposphere) and resulting reference frame issues. However, recent advances in GPS error modelling mean that vertical site rates may now be obtained with a step-change in precision and accuracy compared to those currently routinely generated by the International GNSS Service. Reprocessing these raw data therefore allows even the earliest data to be used to produce coordinates of similar accuracy and precision as the most recent data. In addition, radical improvements in computational capabilities based on clustering technologies now allow what was previously impossible: the reprocessing of tens-of-thousand site-years of GPS data quickly and, therefore, in an experimental manner. Here, we propose to place improved constraints on GIA models and TG observations through a global reprocessing campaign featuring hundreds of sites globally, thereby allowing a significant advance in our understanding of global sea level rise estimates and climate-related driving mechanisms.

该项目解决了当前世纪全球海平面上升估计（1.5 - 2.0毫米/年）的不确定性。这些对全球海平面上升及其水质量贡献者的估计主要来自空间大地测量（测高、时变重力等）。和潮汐测量仪测量。然而，这些的精确测量是复杂的，缺乏信心，准确地校正全球验潮仪（TG）测量其垂直运动，防止真正的海平面上升被测量。同样，需要准确、精确和地理上广泛的表面速度测量，以限制地球从以前的冰融化（冰川均衡调整）反弹的模型，例如在南极洲。GIA测量的不确定性，也许是最重要的，在获得准确的冰质量增益/损失估计从GRACE（最近的卫星使命，"称重"地球）的限制因素。在这两种情况下，全球定位系统的时间序列提供了重要的制约因素，而且实际上已在许多关键地点安装了全球定位系统。然而，到目前为止，GPS时间序列在1 - 2毫米/年的垂直速度水平上仍然存在不确定性和偏差，这主要是由于GPS信号建模不足（例如，对流层）和由此产生的参考系问题。然而，全球定位系统误差建模方面的最新进展意味着，与国际全球导航卫星系统服务组织目前例行生成的垂直站点速率相比，现在可以在精确度和准确度上有一个阶跃变化的情况下获得垂直站点速率。因此，重新处理这些原始数据甚至可以使用最早的数据来产生与最新数据类似的准确度和精度的坐标。此外，基于聚类技术的计算能力的根本改进现在允许以前不可能的事情：快速地重新处理数万年的GPS数据，因此，以实验的方式。在这里，我们建议通过全球数百个站点的全球再处理活动，对GIA模型和TG观测进行改进的约束，从而使我们对全球海平面上升估计和气候相关驱动机制的理解取得重大进展。