A robust integrated streamflow forecasting framework for Australian water information and management agencies

该项目旨在通过开发一种灵活的降雨径流建模方法，将其集成到贝叶斯推理和预测框架中，为澳大利亚的用水用户提供一个准确可靠的季节性流量预测系统。这些科学发展旨在显著提高澳大利亚气象局的业务能力，为诸如东南昆士兰水务公司和澳大利亚其他地区的水务机构提供可靠的流量预报。对未来水流量的准确预测对澳大利亚城市和农村社区的经济繁荣、水安全和社会福祉都具有巨大的价值，这些社区依赖于对水可用性的可靠估计。

This project aims to deliver an accurate and reliable seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australian water users by developing a flexible rainfall-runoff modelling approach integrated into a Bayesian inference and prediction framework. These scientific developments aim to significantly advance the operational capabilities of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology to deliver robust streamflow forecasts to water agencies such as South East Queensland Water and others across Australia. Accurate predictions of future water flows are of tremendous value to urban and rural Australian communities whose economic prosperity, water security and social well-being depend on reliable estimates of water availability.