A public health decision support system framework for the evaluation of infectious disease mitigation

从1347-1350年的黑死病和1918-1919年的西班牙流感大流行，到最近的2003年SARS爆发和2009年流感大流行，以及无数儿童感染的爆发，传染病在整个有记录的历史中一直是人类的祸害，造成严重的发病率，死亡率和社会经济动荡。鉴于传染病暴发的历史证据和最近的经验，公共卫生官员显然需要迅速和强有力的决策，以制定有效的战略，减轻未来传染病暴发的影响。传染病建模，特别是自SARS以来，在为公共卫生专家提供决策支持方面发挥了重要作用。

From the Black Death of 1347-1350 and the Spanish influenza pandemic of 1918-1919, to the more recent 2003 SARS outbreak and the 2009 influenza pandemic, as well as countless outbreaks of childhood infections, infectious diseases have been the bane of humanity throughout recorded history causing significant morbidity, mortality, and socioeconomic upheaval. Given the historical evidence and the recent experiences with infectious disease outbreaks, it is clear that public health officials need rapid and robust decision-making to produce effective strategies to mitigate the effects of future infectious disease outbreaks. Infectious disease modeling, especially since SARS, has played an important role in providing decision support to public health experts.