Modular hydrologic ensemble prediction system

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Continued changes in land cover such as urbanization, industrial development, mining, etc drastically affect the surface runoff in Canadian river basins. In addition, it is now well established that those environmental changes coupled with climate change are resulting in unprecedented changes in surface water (river flows, lakes, and reservoirs) at local and regional scales. Consequently, traditional hydrologic (e.g. streamflow) forecasting tools are not able to account for such dynamic changes in the watershed. Therefore, novel adaptive hydrologic prediction systems that can account for the impacts of human-climate-water interactions are critically needed to provide accurate and reliable hydrologic forecasts which is the essential information for water resources management. Accurate and reliable hydrologic forecasts are essential to domestic and industrial water supply planning, flood warning, drought mitigation, inland navigation, and hydroelectric power generation.