Route choice modeling using dynamic discrete choice models

使用动态离散选择模型的路线选择建模

• 批准号: 435678-2013
• 负责人: RobertFrejinger, Emma
• 金额: $ 1.89万
• 依托单位: Université de Montréal
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Discovery Grants Program - Individual
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2014-01-01 至 2015-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=552847
• 关键词: Route; choice; modeling; using; dynamic

Traffic congestion is a serious problem in cities in Canada and worldwide. Transport models are used as a decision tool for traffic management, evaluation of new infrastructure or impacts of road construction work. This research program focuses on the central issue of predicting travelers' route choices in such models. The state-of-the-art models that are based on real data, i.e. observations of travelers' behavior in a given city, cannot accurately deal with congested networks. In fact, the important aspect that travel time is uncertain to drivers is ignored in the models.

交通拥堵是加拿大乃至全世界城市的一个严重问题。交通模型被用作交通管理、评估新基础设施或道路建设工程影响的决策工具。本研究计划的重点是在这样的模型预测旅行者的路线选择的中心问题。基于真实数据的最先进的模型，即对给定城市中旅行者行为的观察，不能准确地处理拥挤的网络。实际上，模型中忽略了出行时间对驾驶员的不确定性这一重要方面。