Uncertainty Management

不确定性管理

• 批准号: CRC-2016-00043
• 负责人: Deutsch, Clayton
• 金额: $ 14.57万
• 依托单位: University of Alberta
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Canada Research Chairs
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2019-01-01 至 2020-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=694546
• 关键词: Uncertainty; Management

Natural resources are associated with considerable uncertainty. One of the largestsources of uncertainty is due to the spatial variability in rock properties. The proposed research program aims to develop mathematical and computational methods to quantify and manage uncertainty. This uncertainty must be managed in the context of (1) dwindling conventional petroleum reserves, (2) development of the huge unconventional deposits in northern Alberta, the natural gas reserves in the far north, and (3) interest in cleaner sources of energy. The proposed Chair renewal is aimed at the quantification of uncertainty that results from sparse dataand procedures to manage this uncertainty.

自然资源与相当大的不确定性有关。最大的不确定性来源之一是岩石性质的空间变异性。拟议的研究计划旨在开发数学和计算方法来量化和管理不确定性。必须在以下背景下管理这种不确定性：(1)常规石油储量不断减少；(2)艾伯塔省北部巨大的非常规矿藏的开发；(3)对更清洁能源的兴趣。拟议的主席续任旨在量化稀疏数据造成的不确定性，以及管理这种不确定性的方法和程序。