Global Change Ecology

了解生物多样性如何响应全球环境变化的加速是21世纪的主要科学挑战之一。尽管有许多关于生态对气候变化的反应的观察，但我们缺乏一种可以指导适应性管理和决策的预测性理解。这一挑战确定了Sunday教授的研究议程：她利用数据科学、理论和对照实验，将生物体的生理反应与调节种群动态、生态相互作用和群落变化的过程联系起来，以更好地预测生物对气候危机的反应。周日教授对未来五年的愿景是发展3个相互关联的研究轴，以解决气候变化生物地理学前沿的关键挑战，总结为3个相互关联的研究轴。研究轴1是开发和改进环境DNA元条形码（eDNA）的使用，以跟踪海洋中基本的生物多样性变量，并转换我们可以观察生物多样性变化的时空分辨率。研究轴2是通过利用现有的物种分布、生理、生态和适应特征数据，提高我们预测气候引起的物种范围变化的技能。研究轴3是测试竞争和营养相互作用如何随温度变化的理论预测，以推进可推广的理论和更具预测性的理解。这项工作具有变革性，因为它极大地提高了我们对海洋生物多样性的观测能力，填补了了解物种分布如何受气候限制的关键空白，提供了新的预测工具。Sunday教授的研究模式是新颖的：她将跨学科和系统联系起来，从多个角度研究问题，并通过理论和广泛的比较分析寻求共同点。拟议的研究将为学生和博士后提供许多机会，让他们在充满活力的跨学科环境中进行培训，并与保护机构建立伙伴关系，共同设计研究，以获得更有影响力的成果

Understanding how biological diversity is responding to the accelerating rate of global environmental change is one of the key scientific challenges of the 21st century. Despite many observations of ecological responses to climate change, we lack a predictive understanding that can guide adaptive management and decision-making. This challenge sets Prof. Sunday's research agenda: she uses data science, theory, and controlled experiments to connect physiological responses of organisms to processes that regulate population dynamics, ecological interactions, and community change, to better predict biotic responses to the climate crisis. Prof. Sunday's vision for the next five years is to develop 3 interrelated research axes that will address key challenges at the forefront of climate change biogeography, summarized into three interrelated research axes.Research Axis 1 is to develop and improve the use of environmental DNA metabarcoding (eDNA) to track essential biodiversity variables in our oceans and transform the temporal and spatial resolution across which we can observed biodiversity change. Research Axis 2 is to improve our skill in predicting climate-induced species range shifts, by leveraging existing data on distributional, physiological, ecological, and adaptive traits of species.Research Axis 3 is to test theoretical predictions of how competitive and trophic interactions change as a function of temperature, to advance generalizable theory and more predictive understanding.This is work is transformative as it greatly increases our observational capacities of marine biodiversity, and fills key gaps in understanding on how species' distributions are limited by climate, providing new predictive tools. Prof. Sunday's mode of research makes it novel: she connects across disciplines and systems, approaches questions from multiple angles, and seeks commonality through theory and broad comparative analyses.The proposed research will provide numerous opportunities for students and postdocs to train in a vibrant, interdisciplinary environment and to develop partnerships with conservation agencies to co-design research for more impactful outcomes