新型城镇化发展进程中的项目治理研究

针对我国新型城镇化“重要素投入和可持续发展结果两端、轻中间项目治理”导致的运动式发展陷阱以及应用PPP模式的重大需求，本课题拟从关系及契约混合治理的视角开展新型城镇化发展进程中的项目治理研究。（1）对新型城镇化建设中的项目属性及关联关系进行探查；（2）将利益相关者的影响引入新型城镇化发展决策中，应用多主体演化博弈分析利益相关者的信任与合作策略选择；（3）运用ANP和系统动力学等方法，构建“项目选择—利益相关者影响—城镇化目标匹配”的关系治理框架；（4）基于治理强度设计出项目治理结构的范式，应用风险分担方法分配利益相关者的责任和权利；（5）对交易结构设计、声誉等典型项目治理手段进行优化设计，对各种治理手段的有效性进行评估。最后，在中心城镇、外圈城镇和纯农村三类典型地区开展应用研究。 .本课题是对城镇化及项目治理理论的完善，研究成果可以为我国新型城镇化实现可持续发展提供规范引导和决策支持。

The fact that factor investments and sustainable development outcomes have been valued over the project governance causes campaign-style developing pitfalls in the process of China’s new-type urbanization. To avoid the above pitfalls and stress the significant demands on the application of PPP scheme, this study intends to carry out the research on project governance in the new-type urbanization development from the perspective of relationship governance and contract governance. (1) Explore the attributes and relationships of the construction projects in the new-type urbanization. (2) Introduce the impact of stakeholders into the new-type urbanization decision-making, and analyze stakeholder’s strategy options of trust and cooperation under the application of multi-agent evolutionary game. (3) Establish a relationship governance framework of “project selection, stakeholder influence and urbanization target matching” by adopting ANP and system dynamics analysis. (4) Develop the project governance structure model on the basis of governance intensity, and allocate the rights and responsibilities of stakeholders by using the risk sharing method. (5) Optimize and improve governance measures, which include transaction structure and reputation mechanism, and evaluate the effectiveness of governance measure portfolios. Finally, carry out practical study in central towns, outer towns and rural areas..The research is expected to perfect the urbanization and project governance theory. The findings are supposed to provide standardized guidance and decision support for the sustainable development of new-type urbanization in China.