绿色消费视角下中国环境库兹涅茨曲线的形成机理和规制路径研究

经济增长与环境变迁的倒U型关系被称为“环境库兹涅茨曲线”。已有研究主要从企业技术变迁的供给端视角，认为政府对企业生产的环境规制政策是曲线形成倒U型的必要条件，在无政府干预假说下，经济增长必然导致环境灾难。然而，新时代下绿色消费驱动的技术创新和工业转型，对中国经济增长和环境变迁有重要影响。基于此，在内生增长的环境资源配置理论框架下，本项目深入研究以下内容：（1）从绿色消费的新视角论证在无政策规制情况下，环境库兹涅茨曲线依然能呈现倒U型的新经济机理，即在无政府干预假说下经济发展不会必然导致环境灾难；（2）进一步基于社会福利最大化，论证环境规制政策对曲线形成的加速机制；（3）探讨分区域和分产业下，中国政府绿色消费环境规制的差异化治理路径。本项目丰富了经济增长与环境库兹涅茨曲线路径变迁的相关研究，拓展了政府环境规制与社会福利增长的相关理论，也为新时代实现“以绿色消费推动经济绿色发展”提供政策建议。

The inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and environmental change is called the "Environmental Kuznets Curve". Previous studies mainly focus on the supply-side perspective of technological change in enterprises. They argue that the government's environmental regulation policy on enterprise production is a necessary condition for the formation of an inverted U-shaped curve. Without the hypothesis of government intervention, economic growth will inevitably lead to environmental disasters. However, in the new era, green consumption-driven technological innovation and industrial transformation have an important impact on China's economic growth and environmental change. Based on this, under the framework of endogenous growth theory of environmental resource allocation, this project studies the following contents in depth: (1) from a new perspective of green consumption, it demonstrates that without policy regulation, the Environmental Kuznets Curve can still present an inverted U-shaped new economic mechanism, that is, economic development will not necessarily lead to environmental disasters under the assumption of no government intervention; (2) further based on social welfare maximization, demonstrates the accelerating mechanism of environmental regulation policy to curve formation; (3) discusses the differentiated governance path of Chinese government green-consumption environment regulation under sub-regions and sub-industries. This project enriches the research on the path change of economic growth and Environmental Kuznets Curve, expands the relevant theory of government environmental regulation and social welfare growth, and provides policy recommendations for the realization of "green consumption to promote economic green development" in the new era.