针对民众民意在"颜色革命"、"阿拉伯之春"及越南、缅甸地缘政治格局不确定性变动中扮演支轴行为体这一现实问题，在多行为体借力博弈背景下研究"民意张力"对区域地缘政治关系的影响机理是现实和学科发展的客观要求。本项目在对东南亚邻国的资源环境特征及其地缘战略价值进行分析的基础上，运用P-A分析方法对民意的产生与膨胀进行解析，运用网络爬虫技术及事件数据分析方法收集、整理民意事件数据并对民意张力进行测度，通过构建以"民意"为支轴行为体的地缘政治借力博弈模型，运用演化博弈分析方法揭示"民意张力"对区域地缘政治关系演变的影响机理；最后基于影响机理，探讨中国参与越缅地缘政治博弈的行动策略。研究成果有望在地缘政治多行为体借力博弈、"民意张力"对区域地缘政治关系的影响机理等研究内容和研究方法上实现创新。推进政治地理学学科领域深化和培育边缘交叉学科，对维护中国西南航线地缘政治及能源地缘政治安全具有重要的现实意义。

In allusion to the practical question that the public opinion, which were in the "color revolution", "Arabian spring" ,Vietnam, and Myanmar, played the role of "Pivot Actor" in the process of uncertain changes of the Geopolitical Pattern, it has become the objective requirement of the reality and the development of the discipline to study the influence mechanism that "public opinion tension" has had an effect on the regional geopolitical relations under the background of the multi-actors game. Based on the analysis of the characteristics of resources and environment in the neighbours of south-east Asian, as well as its geo-strategic value , the project applied PA analysis methods to account for the cause and expansion of public opinion, used the Web crawler technology and the event data analysis methods to collect, collate public opinion event data in order to measure the public opinion tension. By building the geo-political leveraging game model, whose "Pivot Actor" was based on "public opinion", the project used the evolutionary game analysis methods to reveal the influence mechanism that "public opinion tension" has had an effect on the evolution of the regional geo-political pattern. Finally, based on the influence mechanism, the project explored the action strategies of China's participation in the geopolitical game in Vietnam and Burma . The research results are expected to realize innovation in the field of the research content and method in the geo-political leveraging game of multiple actors and the influence mechanism that "public opinion tension" has had an effect on the regional geopolitical relations. It has important practical significance for the maintenance of the geopolitics and the energy geopolitical security of southwest China routes to promote the deepening of the political geography and cultivate the edge interdisciplinary.