Employment impact of Covid-19 crisis: from short term effects to long terms prospects
Employment impact of Covid-19 crisis: from short term effects to long terms prospects
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DOI：
10.1007/s40812-020-00168-5
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发表时间：
2020-07-15
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Fernández-Macías E
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fana M;Torrejón Pérez S;Fernández-Macías E
我们根据三个欧洲国家（德国、西班牙和意大利）的限制令对经济部门进行分类，为评估新冠危机对就业的影响做出贡献。对这些法令的分析可用于初步评估新冠病毒危机对劳动力市场的影响，也可用于推测中长期发展，因为受影响最大和最小的部门可能会继续以不同的方式运作，直到找到疫苗或其他长期解决方案。通过对 EU-LFS 数据的临时提取，我们将此分类应用于德国、意大利和西班牙以及英国、波兰和瑞典的就业分析，以涵盖欧洲境内所有机构劳动力市场环境。我们的研究结果与最近的文献一致，表明就业影响在国家内部和国家之间是不对称的。特别是，受疫情本身打击最严重的国家（西班牙和意大利，以及英国）由于其生产专业化和劳动力市场制度，更有可能遭受封锁带来的最严重的就业影响。事实上，这些也是危机前更脆弱的劳动力市场：其特点是高失业率和不稳定的工作（尤其是临时合同）。
We contribute to the assessment of the employment implications of the COVID crisis by classifying economic sectors according to the confinement decrees of three European countries (Germany, Spain and Italy). The analysis of these decrees can be used to make a first assessment of the implications of the COVID crisis on labour markets, and also to speculate on mid and long-term developments, since the most and least affected sectors are probably going to continue to operate differently until a vaccine or other long-term solution is found. Using an ad-hoc extraction of EU-LFS data, we apply this classification to the analysis of employment in Germany, Italy and Spain but also UK, Poland and Sweden, in order to cover the whole spectrum of institutional labour market settings within Europe. Our results, in line with recent literature, show that the employment impact is asymmetric within and between countries. In particular, the countries that are being hardest hit by the pandemic itself (Spain and Italy, and also the UK) are the countries more likely to suffer the worst employment implications of the confinement, because of their productive specialisation and labour market institutions. Indeed, these were also the labour markets that were more vulnerable before the crisis: characterised by high unemployment and precarious work (especially temporary contracts).
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影响因子：
2.8
作者：
Palomino, Juan C.;Rodriguez, Juan G.;Sebastian, Raquel
通讯作者：
Sebastian, Raquel
影响因子：
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Neiman, Brent
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影响因子：
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del Rio-Chanona, R. Maria;Mealy, Penny;Farmer, J. Doyne
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