The Objects of Probabilities

概率几乎影响着我们生活的方方面面。精算师计算森林大火造成财产损失的概率，而气候学家警告说，这种概率将惊人地增加。概率在工程、医学、法律、科学和社会科学，以及很多哲学中比比皆是。然而，我们缺乏对接受概率的事物的正确理解：概率的对象。这个项目将提供这样的理解。它将重新思考概率论和决策理论的基础，并对基于这些理论的哲学、科学和公共政策产生潜在的影响。因此，它旨在加强澳大利亚在这些领域的研究形象和国际地位。

Probabilities impact almost every aspect of our lives. Actuaries calculate probabilities of property loss due to bushfires, while climatologists warn that such probabilities will increase alarmingly. Probabilities abound in engineering, medicine, the law, the sciences and social sciences, and much philosophy. Yet we lack a proper understanding of the kinds of things that receive probabilities: the objects of probabilities. This project will provide such understanding. It will rethink the foundations of probability and decision theory, with potential ramifications for the philosophy, science, and public policy that are based on these theories. It thus aims to strengthen Australia's research profile and international standing in these areas.