Prediction of Earthquake Strong Motion

该项目继续研究预测强地面运动和评估包括地质不连续面在内的场地参数的创新方法。该方法具有场地效应数学建模与强运动预测技术相结合的优点。本项目工作将强调强震预测的场地效应（包括地质不连续面）。将进行强地面运动的确定性模拟，以确定所选地点相关参数的敏感性，包括用于预测强地面运动的局部应力和不连续面。研究结果将为评价地震场地的危险性提供强震运动和地震复发的统一解释。

This project continues research on innovative methods to predict strong ground motions and evaluates site parameters including geologic discontinuities. The method provides the advantage of combining the mathematical modeling of site effects with strong motion prediction techniques. This project work will emphasize site effects (including geologic discontinuities) for strong motion prediction. A deterministic simulation of strong ground motions will be made to establish the sensitivity of selected site dependent parameters, including local stresses and discontinuities for predicting strong ground motions. The results will provide a unified interpretation of strong motions and earthquake recurrence for evaluating seismic site hazards.