Soviet Economic Performance During Period of New Economic Policy, 1921-1928

具有改革思想的苏联领导层正在制定 一个新的经济改革体系，通常被称为 “改革” 在苏联，提议改变 经济制度需要意识形态的辩护。 一个重要 一个恰当的例子是苏联的混合经济实验， 新经济政策（New Economic Policy，NEP），从1921年3月开始， 第一个五年计划于1928年通过。 新的苏联 领导层提到了新经济政策时期， 市场与计划相结合的模式。 特别感兴趣的 苏联经济改革的当代典范是新经济政策 农业联合收割机私有制、私营 零售业，以及国家所有制的所谓指挥 工业和交通的高峰。 最近戈尔巴乔夫 恢复布哈林，混合NEP类型的主要倡导者 经济，特别是农业和贸易。 的成功 中国在农业方面进行市场力量试验， 同样，苏联人也知道，资源的变化， 分配安排是一个合乎逻辑的特点，一般 改革方案。 本研究将重新审视新经济政策经济。 它将提供 对新经济政策时期苏联经济增长的估计， 希望它能解决文献中关于 苏联经济复苏的程度， 第一个五年计划。 第二项任务是发展 农民市场行为的计量经济学模型 20世纪20年代-当时集体化辩论的关键问题。 区域和时间序列数据将用于估计 相对价格和税收对农民销售的影响 各种农产品。 最耗时且 预计研究的难点在于数据 集合阶段。 一方面，数据几乎太多 无论是沙皇还是苏联。 另一方面，每个数据 set有它的缺点。 增进我们对 各种数据源以及基于此的估计质量 是这项研究的主要目标。

The reform-minded Soviet leadership is in the process of devising a new system of economic reforms, generally referred to as "perestroika". In the Soviet Union, proposed changes in the economic system require ideological justification. An important case in point is the Soviet experiment with a mixed economy, called the New Economic Policy, or NEP, from March of 1921 to the adoption of the first five year plan in 1928. The new Soviet leadership has made references to the NEP period as a possible model for combining market and plan. Of particular interest to the contemporary modelers of Soviet economic reform was NEP's effort to combine private ownership in agriculture, private retail trade, and state ownership of the so-called commanding heights of industry and transportation. Recently Gorbachev rehabilitated Bukharin, the chief advocate of a mixed NEP-type economy, particularly in agriculture and trade. The successes of the Chinese experiment with market forces in agriculture, likewise, are known by the Soviets, and changes in resource- allocation arrangements are a logical feature of the general reform package. This research will reexamine the NEP economy. It will provide estimates of Soviet economic growth during the NEP period which, it is hoped, will resolve the controversy in the literature over the extent of the recovery of the Soviet economy on the eve of the first five year plan. A second task will be the development of econometric models of peasant marketing behavior during the 1920's - a key issue of the collectivization debate of that time. Regional and time series data will be used to estimate the effects of relative prices and taxes on peasant marketings of various agriculture products. The most time-consuming and difficult part of the projected research will be the data gathering stage. On the one hand, there is almost too much data available, both Tsarist and Soviet. On the other hand, each data set has its flaws. Improvement of our understanding of the various data sources and the quality of estimates based thereon is a primary goal of the study.