A Study of Air-Sea Ice-Ocean Interactions and their PossibleRole in Detecting Global Climate Change

气候模拟研究表明，全球气候系统的极地地区对气候扰动最为敏感。因此，人们认为全球气候变化将首先在地球上的这些地区显现出来。在这项研究计划中，使用包括海冰、铅和海冰输送的NCAR社区气候模式(Genesis/CCM1)的修改版本的实验结果将被用来确定气候对海冰变化的敏感性，并通过监测确定可以为全球气候变化提供早期预警的变量。在这个项目中，将利用对Genesis/CCM1试验结果的分析，1)确定CCSI模型研究以前的模型研究中确定的气候变化机制是否发生在更复杂的模拟系统中，2)确定海冰对海洋-大气界面的能量和水分通量的影响及其对全球和区域气候的影响，以及3)研究监测与海冰相关的变量，包括铅含量、降雪量、温度以及能量和水分通量，有助于提供对未来全球气候变化的预测的可能性。

Climate modeling research has shown that the polar regions of the global climate system are the most sensitive to climatic perturbations. Therefore, it is felt that global climate change will first be evident in those regions of the Earth. In this research program the results of an experiment with a modified version of the NCAR Community Climate Model (GENESIS/CCM1) that includes sea ice, leads and sea ice transport, will be used to determine the sensitivity of the climate to sea ice variations, and to identify variables that, through monitoring, could provide an early warning of global climate change. In this project an analysis of the results of experiments with the GENESIS/CCM1 will be used 1) to determine if the mechanisms of climate change identified in the previous model studies the CCSI model Study occur in the more complex modeled system, 2) to determine the impact of sea ice on the energy and moisture fluxes at the ocean-atmosphere interface and their effect on climate both globally and regionally, and 3) to examine the possibility that the monitoring of variables associated with sea ice, including lead fraction, snowfall, temperatures, and energy and moisture fluxes, could help provide a prediction of future global climate change.