Integrating Climate, Hydrologic and Decision-Support Models for Regional Assessments

摘要ATM-9712057 Dirmeyer，Paul A.全球环境协会研究所标题：区域评估的气候、水文和决策支持模型集成。该提案的想法是在组成模型的基础上发展综合评估能力。为此，建议改进目前的气候、水文和评估模型，并建立有效的机制，将这些模型结合起来，以便对气候和水文条件的区域气候变化作出越来越详细的预测，而这些预测又用于对关键部门水供应量变化的后果进行更现实的评估。该系统将在恒河-雅鲁藏布江流域进行测试。这项研究非常符合MMIA的目标，如果成功，将有助于减轻气候变化的不利影响。

ABSTRACT ATM -9712057 Dirmeyer, Paul A. Institute of Global Environment & Society, Inc. TITLE: Integrating Climate, Hydrologic, and Decision Support Models for Regional Assessment. The idea of the proposal is to develop an integrated assessment capability based on component models. For this it is proposed to improve current climate, hydrologic and assessment models and to develop effective mechanisms for coupling these models in order to produce increasingly detailed projections of regional climate changes in climate and hydrological conditions which in turn are used to provide more realistic assessment of the consequences of resulting changes in water availability for key sectors. This system will be tested over the Ganges-Brahmaputra valley. This research fits into the goals of MMIA very well and if successful will help mitigating the detrimental effects of climate change.