US-Egypt Workshop on "Predictive Methodologies for Global Weather Related Disasters", January 2006, Cairo, Egypt

该奖项是为了支持将于2006年1月在埃及开罗举行的关于“全球天气相关灾害的预测方法”的美国-埃及研讨会。组织者是里士满弗吉尼亚联邦大学机械工程系的Ramana Pidaparti博士和Mohamed Gad-el-Hak博士，开罗国家遥感和空间科学机构（NARSS）的Atef Sherif博士，开罗大学的Basman El-Hadidi博士和埃及亚历山大大学的Hamdi Kandil博士。这笔拨款支持12名美国科学家参加研讨会的旅费。与全球天气状况和自然灾害有关的一些事件可能会在21世纪挑战世界科学家和工程师。全球变暖和沙漠化的现实将对世界某些地区产生严重影响，特别是在埃及等以沙漠为主的发展中国家。造成这一问题的原因是缺乏对埃及、尼罗河盆地和北非地区天气的精确模拟。对尼罗河谷沿岸湖泊和盆地的降雨和蒸发进行可靠的预测，可以帮助埃及制定与水管理有关的战略决策。拟议的全球天气相关灾害讲习班的目标是确定计算建模和模拟领域的技术挑战和合作需求。讲习班报告将以电子格式和CD以及通过会议记录分发。长期目标是加强现有的分析和计算方法，提高对与自然灾害有关的问题的了解和预测。该研讨会将促进未来的研究合作，并推进大尺度天气相关区域气候变化的建模和模拟技术。知识价值：全球与天气有关的灾害确实会发生，发展预测方法将引起国际社会的兴趣。拟议的讲习班将确定研究议程，以确定与预测方法有关的问题，这将进一步有助于避免或至少恢复自然灾害的损害。更广泛的影响：预计将有四名美国青年科学家参加这项国际活动。从讲习班议程中确定的问题的预测方法将在广泛的科学方法中得到应用。拟议的研讨会的结果预计将建立一个有利于农业、工业和服务部门的研究议程，并扩大对埃及、美国和其他国家当前环境问题的调查范围。该项目得到了美国-埃及联合基金项目的部分支持，该项目向两国的科学家和工程师提供资助，以开展这些联合科学活动。

0541963 PidapartiDescription: This award is to support a US-Egypt Workshop on "Predictive Methodologies for Global Weather Related Disasters" to be held in Cairo, Egypt in January 2006. The organizers are Dr. Ramana Pidaparti and Dr. Mohamed Gad-el-Hak, in the Department of Mechanical Engineering at the Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond and Dr. Atef Sherif, National Agency for Remote Sensing and Space Science (NARSS) in Cairo, Dr. Basman El-Hadidi, Cairo University and Dr. Hamdi Kandil, Alexandria University, Egypt. This grant supports travel of 12 U.S. scientists to participate in the workshop. A number of events related to global weather conditions and natural disasters will likely challenge the world scientists and engineers in the 21st century. The reality of global warming and desertification will have serious effects in some parts of the world, particularly in developing, desert-dominated nations such as Egypt. Contributing to the problem is the lack of accurate modeling of the weather in Egypt, the Nile Basin and North Africa. Reliable prediction of rainfall and evaporation from lakes and basins along the Nile valley can assist strategic decision making related to water management in Egypt. The objective of the proposed workshop on global weather related disasters is to identify the technical challenges and the need for collaboration in the areas of computational modeling and simulations. The workshop report will be disseminated in electronic format as well as CD's and through conference proceedings. The long-term goal is to enhance existing analytical and computational methods, and improve understanding and prediction of the issues related to natural disasters. The workshop will stimulate future research Collaboration, and advance the modeling and simulation techniques for predicting large-scale weather related regional climatic changes.Intellectual Merit: Global weather related disasters do happen, and developing predictive methodologies will be of interest to the international community. The proposed workshop will shape the research agenda in identifying the issues related to predictive methodologies, which will further help in avoiding or at least returning the damage of natural disasters.Broader impact: Four junior U.S. scientists are expected to participate in this international activity. The predictive methodologies for the issues identified from the workshop agenda and will have applications in broad scientific methods. The results from the proposed workshop are expected to establish a research agenda that will benefit the agricultural, industrial and service sectors, and broaden the scope of investigations of current environmental concerns in Egypt, U.S. and other countries in general. This project is being supported, in part, under the US-Egypt Joint Fund Program, which provides grants to scientists and engineers in both countries to carry out these joint scientific activities.