NSCC/SA: Strategies of Violence, Tools of Peace, and Changes in War Termination

该奖项由国家安全、冲突和合作竞赛的社会和行为维度提供资金，这是美国国家科学基金会和国防部的联合项目。该项目试图了解国内和州际武装冲突中终止战争的过程和结果最近发生的四个关键变化：军事胜利变得不那么常见，正式的和平条约在州际战争中变得不那么常见，但在内战中更常见，战争的军事和政治结果已经不同，战争罪责条款在今天更加常见。这些变化在很大程度上被学者们忽视了，但它们可能更多地阻碍而不是帮助实现长期的和平前景。本项目审查改变暴力战略对结束战争的影响。调查人员将推导和测试将游击战、国际干预、维和和规范战争行为的法律等战略和条件与终止战争的过程和结果联系起来的假设。这项研究将基于一个异常全面的数据集，跨越两个世纪，包括州际战争和内战的广泛和可比较的衡量标准。

This award was funded through the Social and Behavioral Dimensions of National Security, Conflict, and Cooperation competition, a joint venture between NSF and the Department of Defense.This project seeks to understand four critical recent changes in the process and outcomes of war termination in both civil and interstate armed conflicts: military victory has become less common, formal peace treaties have become less common in interstate war but more common in civil war, military and political outcomes of war have diverged, and clauses of war guilt are much more common today. These changes have been largely ignored by scholars, but may do more to hinder than to help the long-term prospects for peace. This project examines the implications of changing strategies of violence for war termination. The investigators will derive and test hypotheses linking strategies and conditions such as guerrilla warfare, international intervention, peacekeeping, and laws regulating the conduct of war to the process and outcomes of war termination. This research will be based on an unusually comprehensive dataset that spans two centuries with extensive and comparable measures for both interstate and civil wars.