Doctoral Dissertation Research: Terrorism and Counterterrorism: A Comparative Cross-National Analysis

为什么不同的国家在不同的历史时期采用不同的策略来应对非国家恐怖主义和叛乱？本研究在过去四十年中对这个问题进行了实证探索。使用综合理论方法，它将传统的以行动者为导向的国际关系解释与更多的社会学和文化方法相结合，强调理性决策和权力关系，强调思想，规范，合法性和文化工具包。通过两步调查来探索这些方法。首先，通过一系列定量回归分析，结合集合时间序列横断面分析和事件历史分析，检验了恐怖主义与国家反应之间的关系。其次，该研究通过对土耳其、以色列和印度三个正在进行的突出恐怖主义运动的比较历史调查，对同样的问题进行了更敏感的深入研究。该项目是第一个研究国家反恐政策的决定因素，将综合理论框架应用于跨国层面的各种反恐措施。它提供了对国家决策过程和影响决策者的各种因素的见解，并表明这些因素往往受到并非严格由效用驱动的考虑因素的影响。此外，该研究具有重要的公共政策意义。它为决策者和安全部队提供了有关各种反恐措施有效性的重要信息，使他们在打击国内和国际恐怖主义时拥有更有效的工具。

Why do different countries at different historical periods employ varying tactics in response to non-state terrorism and insurgency? This study explores empirically alternative explanations for this question during the last four decades. Using an integrative theoretical approach, it interlaces traditional actor-oriented international relations explanations that emphasize rational decision making and power relations with more sociological and cultural approaches, which emphasize ideas, norms, legitimacy and cultural toolkits. A two-step inquiry is conducted to explore these approaches. First, the relationship between terrorism and state response is examined through a series of quantitative regression analyses, combining pooled time-series cross-sectional analyses and event history analyses. Second, the research takes a more sensitive in-depth look at the same questions using a comparative historical investigation of three prominent ongoing terrorist campaigns in Turkey, Israel, and India. This project is the first to examine the determinants of states' counterterrorist policies applying a comprehensive theoretical framework to a variety of counterterrorist measures on a cross-national level. It provides insights into the processes of states' decision making and the various factors that influence policy makers and show that these are often affected by considerations that are not strictly utility-driven. In addition, the study has important public policy implications. It provides decision makers and security forces with important information about the effectiveness of various counterterrorist measures, equipping them with more efficient tools in their fight against domestic and international terrorism.