Type 2 - LOI02170327 - A Regional Earth System Model of the Northeast Corridor: Analyzing 21st Century Climate and Environment

东北地区（NE）展示了全国各地的景观和流域发生的许多变化，但也提供了一个独特的透镜，通过它来评估管理大规模自然资源系统的选择。该区域经历了早期定居、毁林和土地清理、工业化、城市化和特大城市增长到后工业化的转变。在本区域迅速变化的气候下，这种人类活动将继续下去，而且可能更难管理。由于大气、陆地和水生系统通过水、能量和生物地球化学循环紧密相连，这些实体中任何一个的变化都有可能产生系统范围的反馈、阈值和意想不到的后果。目前科学家了解区域范围内和几十年来人类-环境系统的能力有限，规划人员制定合理决策的工具也是如此。 提供资金建立一个东北区域地球系统模型（NE-RESM），提高认识和能力，预测规划决策对该地区的环境，生态系统服务，能源系统和经济的影响，通过21世纪世纪。该模型将被用来测试是否有区域性的显着后果，人类的决定对环境系统的东北，表示通过自然和工程人类系统的行动，决定该地区的地球物理状态，生态系统服务，能源和经济产出。拟议的研究将是发展诊断和理解大型相互作用的人类-自然系统状态的能力的重要一步。 除了其科学价值，对人类如何与整个地区的气候和环境系统相互作用的综合理解对美国和国际社会都具有巨大的战略重要性。环境问题的全球化在科学界和公共政策界产生了一种新的紧迫感，随着人们沿着越来越多地认识到生态系统服务对人类福祉的重要性，不难阐明就大规模人类与环境的相互作用形成一种更为综合的观点所带来的诸多益处。这项研究有可能创造出一种具有持久效益的产品：一种将新科学转化为更好决策的工作对话。该项目支持的博士后科学家的专业发展目标是培养技术上有能力的整体思想家，他们准备成为跨学科地球系统科学领域的领导者。该项目还将为本科生和研究生提供独特的研究机会，特别是在目前严重缺乏足够培训的跨学科研究领域。

The Northeast region (NE) exhibits many of the changes taking place across the Nation's landscapes and watersheds, yet also provides a unique lens through which to assess options for managing large-scale natural resource systems. The region has been transformed through early settlement, deforestation and land clearing to industrialization, urbanization and mega-city growth to post-industrialization. Such human actions will continue and arguably be more difficult to manage under the region's rapidly changing climate. Because atmosphere, land, and aquatic systems are closely linked through the water, energy, and biogeochemical cycles, change to any one of these entities holds the potential for system-wide feedbacks, thresholds, and unintended consequences. The current capacity of scientists to understand human-environment systems over the regional domain and over multi-decades is limited, as are the tools for planners to formulate sound decisions. Funding is provided to build a Northeast Regional Earth System Model (NE-RESM) that improves understanding and capacity to forecast the implications of planning decisions on the region's environment, ecosystem services, energy systems and economy through the 21st century. The model will be used to test whether there are regionally significant consequences of human decisions on environmental systems of the NE, expressed through the action of both natural and engineered human systems that dictate the region's biogeophysical state, ecosystem services, energy and economic output. The proposed research will be a major step forward in developing a capacity to diagnose and understand the state of large, interacting human-natural systems. Beyond its scientific value, a synthetic understanding of how humans interact with climate and environmental systems across entire regions is of enormous strategic importance both to the US and internationally. The globalization of environmental problems has gained a new sense of urgency in science and public policy circles, and along with a growing recognition that ecosystems services are important to human well-being, it is not difficult to articulate the many benefits of developing a more integrated perspective on large-scale human-environment interactions. This research has the potential to create a product of lasting benefit: a working dialogue to translate new science into better decisions. The professional development goal for the post-doctoral scientists supported on this project is to produce holistic thinkers who are technically competent are prepared to become leaders in the field of interdisciplinary Earth systems science. The project will also provide unique research opportunities for undergraduate and graduate students, particularly in the area of interdisciplinary research, for which there is now a critical lack of sufficient training.