Making Sense of the Multi-Model Decadal Prediction Experiments from CMIP5 Workshop; Aspen, Co; June 26 - July 1, 2011

该奖项提供资金，以支持一个讲习班，题为“理解耦合模式相互比较项目（CMIP 5）的多模式十年预报实验”。本次研讨会将汇集主要来自高端气候模拟中心的研究人员，目的是为十年模拟套件设计分析和评估方法。白杨全球变化研究所还将在其网站www.agci.org上记录整个过程（例如，幻灯片演示、背景文件和补充参考资料）。研讨会将促进合作和分析迄今为止产生的十年期预测模型结果，并将及时综合科学结果，以纳入气专委第五次评估报告。本次研讨会的成果之一将是一篇同行评审的期刊文章，该文章将作为政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC AR5）即将发布的报告的一部分进行评估。因此，活动的广泛影响也很大。

This award provides funds to support a Workshop entitled Making Sense of the multi-model decadal prediction experiments from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). This Workshop will bring together researchers, primarily from the high-end climate modeling centers, with an objective to devise an analysis and evaluation methodology for the suite of decadal simulations. The Aspen Global Change Institute will also document the entire proceedings (e.g. power point presentations, background papers and supplementary references) at its website www.agci.org Methodologies essential for quantifying the reliability and credibility of decadal simulations will be developed, thus the intellectual merit is high. The Workshop will facilitate collaboration and analysis of the decadal prediction model output produced thus far and scientific results will be synthesized in a timely manner for inclusion in the IPCC AR5. One of the deliverables from this Workshop will be a peer-reviewed journal article that will be assessed as part of the forthcoming report of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC AR5). Thus the broader impacts of the activity is also high.