Workshop: Community Integrated Environmental Models Location: University of California at Davis Date: Early 2015

1464440麦德林-阿祖拉研讨会：社区综合环境模型在加利福尼亚州海湾三角洲，科学理解与管理和政策的影响之间存在持久的分歧。先进和不断进步的供水和生态系统模型通常分散在不同的政府、顾问和大学团体中。产出的框架往往很窄，几乎没有背景，也没有认识到与其他进程的联系。模型的技巧和敏感度很少被探索，不确定性的特征不是决策者可以理解或反应的方式。开源储存库和集成的生态和供水建模系统不仅承诺将水系统组件模型联系起来，还将促进更深层次的社区合作和洞察力，以实现共同目标。组件模型框架通过在共享见解和数据时改善专家之间的沟通，将社区中不同的成员联系在一起。重点是使早期职业研究人员和建模人员能够在高级导师的指导下参与白皮书的编写。这一点很重要，因为年轻的研究人员将围绕该框架和任何未来致力于这一倡议的研究中心建立他们的职业生涯。研讨会的目标是为开放源码社区数据、共享模型库和用于复杂水系统分析和决策支持的可互操作组件建模系统制定战略。研讨会将产生一份白皮书，指导加利福尼亚州海湾-三角洲系统的综合建模的未来，并与更广泛的国际模型界相关。这篇论文将发表在旧金山河口和分水岭科学杂志上，这是一份开放获取的同行评议期刊。研讨会将主办国际领导人在综合环境建模方面的全体评论，以教育和鼓励讨论。它将召集多个小组讨论关键主题，如开放源码模型库、组件建模系统、管理人员和决策者的决策支持系统以及有效的制度安排。致力于研究加利福尼亚州海湾-三角洲分水岭问题的科学界已经开发出先进的统计和确定性工具，用于了解物理、化学和生物过程。然而，该系统的复杂性，以及在保护环境的同时扩大供水的社会愿望，要求加强不同过程模型之间的联系，以获得更全面的见解。研讨会的产品将直接为使用数据和模型管理生态系统恢复和供水系统运营的新的、更有效的方法提供信息和支持。

1464440Medellin-AzuaraWorkshop: Community Integrated Environmental Models There is a persistent schism between scientific understanding and implications for management and policy in the California Bay-Delta. Advanced and progressing water supply and ecosystem models are typically siloed among various government, consultant, and university groups. Outputs are often narrowly framed, with little context and recognition of linkages to other processes. Model skill and sensitivity is seldom explored and uncertainty is not characterized in ways that decision makers can understand or react to. Open source repositories and integrated ecological and water supply modeling systems promise not only to link water system component models, but also foster deeper community collaboration and insights meeting common goals. Component model frameworks knit disparate members of the community together by improving communication between experts as insights and data are shared. An emphasis is placed in enabling Early Career researchers and modelers to participate in the development of the White Paper under the tutelage of senior mentors. This is important as young researchers will build their career around the framework and any future research center dedicated to this initiative.The symposium's objective is to produce strategies for open-source community data, shared model repositories, and interoperable component modeling systems for complex water system analysis and decision support. The symposium will produce a white paper to guide the future of integrated modeling for the California Bay-Delta system with relevance to the wider international modeling community. The paper will be published in the Journal of San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, an open-access peer reviewed journal. The symposium will host plenary comments from international leaders in integrated environmental modeling to educate and invigorate discussion. It will convene multiple group discussions on key topics like open source model repositories, component modeling systems, decision support systems for managers and decision makers, and effective institutional arrangements. The science community working on California Bay-Delta watershed issues has developed advanced statistical and deterministic tools for understanding physical, chemical, and biological processes. Yet the complexity of the system, and the societal desire to expand water supply while protecting the environment, demands strengthened connections between disparate process models for more integrative insights. Products from the symposium will directly inform and support new and more effective ways to use data and models for managing ecosystem restoration and water supply system operations.