Innovations in Bayesian inference with applications to climate extremes

极端气候对澳大利亚和社会产生了巨大影响，影响到农业、供水和管理、森林火灾控制、公用事业、电力、保险、经济和许多其他部门。该项目将使用创新的贝叶斯统计方法研究澳大利亚极端降雨、干旱、洪水和热带气旋的频率和强度可能发生的变化。该项目将为澳大利亚毕业生提供贝叶斯计算和极端气候统计模型方面的宝贵培训。它将提高澳大利亚作为发展贝叶斯方法和气候研究的强大贡献者的声誉，并有助于促进气候和数学科学家之间的合作。

Climate extremes have immense impacts on Australia and society, affecting agriculture, water supply and management, bushfire control, utilities, power, insurance, the economy and many other sectors. This project will examine possible changes in the frequency and intensity of Australian extreme rainfall, droughts, flooding and tropical cyclones using innovative Bayesian statistical methods. The project will provide valuable training to Australian graduates in Bayesian computation and the statistical modelling of climate extremes. It will enhance Australia's reputation as a strong contributor to the development of Bayesian methodologies and climate research, and help foster collaborations between climate and mathematical scientists.