Epistemically feasible choice: implications for sustainable risk management

这个项目的目的是检查程序决策原则，这些原则将在由于认知限制，标准决策理论提供的指导不足的情况下产生更好的选择。个人和决策者必须作出决定，即使他们不能完全了解所有相关的可能性或完全了解他们尚未经历的后果。例子包括关于婚姻和生育的个人决定，关于复杂环境问题的公共政策决定，以及资助科学研究的决定。该项目的预期结果将是一个正式的决策理论模型，结合弹性、可持续性和变革经验的原则。

The aim of this project is to examine procedural decision principles that will yield better choices in circumstances where, because of epistemic limitations, standard decision theory provides an inadequate guide. Individuals and policy-makers must make decisions even though they cannot be fully aware of all of the relevant possibilities or fully understand consequences they have not yet experienced. Examples include individual decisions about marriage and childbearing, public policy decisions about complex environmental problems and decisions on funding scientific research. The expected outcome of the project will be a formal model of decision theory incorporating principles of resilience, sustainability and transformative experience.