Forced Displacement and Community Resilience: Housing Insecurity under COVID-19 in Inland Southern California

COVID-19大流行的独特性质造成了一种灾难局面，突出了稳定住房的重要性，特别是最近的证据表明，驱逐增加了COVID-19感染和死亡的风险。这项研究将提高对南加州内陆地区2019冠状病毒病大流行前后驱逐过程和后果的认识。第一个目标是分析最近被驱逐的租房者的人口和社会经济状况，以及搬迁的过程和结果。第二个目标是分析社区恢复力和社区变化，例如社区正在士绅化或变得更加贫困，如何与租房者的结果联系在一起。第三个目标是评估大流行是否以及如何改变这些结果。这项研究将促进我们对流行病等外部冲击下的非自愿居住选择的理解。它有助于复原力研究，帮助我们理解为什么社会经济劣势的根本原因是灾难性事件下脆弱性的主要来源，以及住房安全如何与社区复原力相互作用。由于驱逐与社会、经济和健康差距以及城市贫困有关，有效的驱逐预防举措可能对解决这些长期存在的问题大有帮助。这项研究为旨在解决驱逐问题并遏制其后果的政策干预提供了证据。它还将对住房市场和社会福利的实践和政策产生重大影响，以缓解因大流行造成的破坏而加剧的种族、民族和阶级的社会和空间鸿沟。本研究使用多标量、比较和混合方法框架调查了南加州内陆地区COVID-19大流行前后的正式和非正式驱逐和社区变化。本研究将使用公共和限制性数据集，对家庭和社区层面的驱逐流行程度及其威胁进行建模。由于住房流动性塑造了被驱逐家庭和社区动态的未来生活历程，该团队将对被驱逐租户的住房选择和社区动态进行建模。此外，该项目还对租户、房东、房地产经纪人和住房开发商、非营利组织和政府官员进行了深入访谈，以考察个人特征、社区环境和制度力量对驱逐的影响。多尺度、混合方法和比较框架将促进对家庭一级驱逐过程的了解，以及社区动态、政策干预、权力关系和当地社区在类似大流行的破坏期间的应对过程。本研究的结果不仅将直接有利于本地区的政策制定和实践，而且还将为国家受众提供该领域的知识。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

The unique nature of the COVID-19 pandemic created a disaster situation that highlights the importance of stable housing, particularly as recent evidence suggests that eviction increased the risk of COVID-19 infection and mortality. This study will improve knowledge of processes and consequences of evictions before and after the COVID-19 pandemic in Inland Southern California. The first goal is to analyze the demographic and socioeconomic profile of renters who recently experienced an eviction, as well as the relocation process and outcome. The second goal is to analyze how community resilience and neighborhood change, such as neighborhoods that are gentrifying or becoming more impoverished, are tied to outcomes for renters. The third goal is to evaluate whether and how these outcomes are changed by the pandemic. This study will advance our understanding of involuntary residential choices under an external shock like a pandemic. It contributes to resilience scholarship and helps us understand why the root cause of socioeconomic disadvantage is the primary source of vulnerability under disastrous events, and how housing security interacts with community resilience. As eviction is linked to social, economic, and health disparities, and urban poverty, effective eviction-prevention initiatives could go a long way toward addressing these enduring problems. This study provides evidence for policy interventions designed to address eviction and stem its consequences. It will also provide significant implications for practice and policy in housing markets and social welfare to alleviate social and spatial divides by race, ethnicity, and class that have been exacerbated by the pandemic disruption. This study investigates formal and informal eviction and neighborhood change before and after the COVID-19 pandemic in Inland Southern California using a multiscalar, comparative, and mixed-methods framework. Using both public and restrictive datasets, this study will model the prevalence of eviction and the threat of it at both the household and neighborhood levels. As residential mobility shapes the future life course of evicted households and neighborhood dynamics, the team will model the residential choice of evicted renters and neighborhood dynamics. Further, the project conducts in-depth interviews with tenants, landlords, real estate agents and housing developers, non-profit organizations, and government officials to examine the pathways through which individual characteristics, neighborhood environment, and institutional forces contribute to eviction. The multiscalar, mixed-methods and comparative framework will advance knowledge on the process of eviction at the household level, as well as neighborhood dynamics, policy interventions, power relations, and the coping process of local communities during a pandemic-like disruption. Findings from this study will not only directly benefit policymaking and practice in this region, but also contribute to knowledge in the field for national audiences.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.