CAREER: Globalization, Social Stability, and Inclusion in Authoritarian Citizenship

职业：全球化、社会稳定和威权公民的包容性经济全球化为跨国公司所在国的政府带来了许多利益冲突。在民主国家，政府通常提供更大的福利和再分配，以补偿受全球化影响的群体。然而，在没有建立良好的利益集团代表的非民主国家，人们对全球化如何影响政府提供福利和全球化引起的不平等所驱动的抗议活动知之甚少。该项目旨在了解专制国家的外国投资何时增加了政府的再分配，以及国际生产链和地方政府政策如何推动或阻止抗议活动。该项目的研究结果将有助于更好地了解专制政府如何适应全球化和在国外经营的跨国公司所面临的国际商业环境。该项目有两个具体目标。第一个目标是确定经济全球化增加专制再分配的条件。本项目利用政府企业登记记录的文本即数据技术，通过时间序列截面数据的匹配模型，对外商投资企业进行代表性调查，对外商直接投资进行分解，研究外商投资企业的市场导向通过增加政府支出来推动福利再分配的慷慨性这一假设，但外国公司对技术的依赖决定了谁能够获得再分配。第二个目标是确定增加福利再分配与社会动荡事件之间的关系。利用社会媒体和非政府组织关于社会抗议（包括劳工和社会正义抗议）的报告的时间序列横截面模型，该项目不仅确定了福利再分配的相对获得与街头抗议的关系，而且还确定了扩大福利的获得是否会减少社会动荡。该项目的研究成果将促进对政府应对全球化的政策、全球化与社会动荡的关系、在专制国家经营的跨国公司的政治经济等核心问题的基础研究。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

CAREER: Globalization, Social Stability, and Inclusion in Authoritarian Citizenship Economic globalization creates many conflicting interests for governments that host multi-national corporations. In democracies, governments often provide greater welfare and redistribution to compensate groups harmed by globalization’s impact. In non-democracies without well established interest group representation, however, much less is known about how globalization affects both government provision of welfare and protests driven by globalization-induced inequalities. This project seeks to understand when foreign investment in authoritarian countries increases government redistribution and how both international production chains and local government policies drive or deter protests. The findings of the project will help to better understand how authoritarian governments adapt to globalization and the international business environment faced by multinational corporations operating abroad. The project has two specific goals. The first goal is to identify the conditions under which economic globalization increases access to authoritarian redistribution. Using text-as-data techniques on government firm registration records and a representative survey of foreign-invested firms in a matching model for time-series cross-sectional data, the project disaggregates foreign direct investment to investigate the hypotheses that market orientation of foreign-funded firms drives the generosity of welfare redistribution through higher government spending, but skill-dependence of foreign firms determines who gains access to redistribution. The second goal is to identify the relationship between increased access to welfare redistribution and incidents of social unrest. Using time-series cross-sectional models on social media and non-governmental organization reports on social protests including labor and social justice protests, the project identifies not only how relative access to welfare redistribution relates to street protests, but also if expanded access to welfare decreases social unrest. The findings of the project will advance basic research on central questions relating to government policy responses to globalization, the relationship of globalization to social unrest, and the political economy of multi-national firms operating in authoritarian countries.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.