When Populism meets Government: The Social Policy Impact of the Radical Right in Europe

民粹主义激进右翼政党（prrp）的崛起在大多数欧洲民主国家都可以看到。对于这种选举转变的原因，我们拥有强有力的理论阐述，但对于它对政府活动的最大部分——福利国家——的影响，我们仍然知之甚少。这就是本研究项目要研究的内容。其主要目标是确定和解释欧洲prrp在执政时如何影响社会政策，即其社会政策影响。有了这个研究议程，我的目标是解决一个实质性的文献差距，并有助于一个知情的公众辩论，关于我们这个时代最具活力的党派力量如何将公民与政治权力的行使联系起来。该项目比较了奥地利FPÖ （Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs）、丹麦DF （Dansk Folkeparti）、匈牙利青民盟（Magyar Polgári Szövetség）和瑞士SVP （Schweizerische Volkspartei）的社会政策影响。它的出发点是这样一个假设，即选民联盟和突出问题是prrp政策偏好的核心。但是，prrp能够根据其政策偏好影响政策产出的程度应取决于内阁份额和否决可能性的数量/强度。对(1)政策偏好和(2)政治能力之间交集的分析构成了本研究项目的理论框架。

The rise of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) can be witnessed across most European democracies. We possess powerful theoretical elaborations on the causes of this electoral shift, but we still know very little about its consequences for the largest part of government activity: the welfare state. This is what the present research project will study. Its principal objective is to identify and explain how European PRRPs influence social policies when they are in government, i.e. their social policy impact. With this research agenda I aim to address a substantial literature gap and contribute to an informed public debate about how the perhaps most dynamic partisan force of our time connects citizens to the exercise of political power. The project compares the social policy impacts of the Austrian FPÖ (Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs), the Danish DF (Dansk Folkeparti), the Hungarian Fidesz (Magyar Polgári Szövetség), and the Swiss SVP (Schweizerische Volkspartei). It starts from the assumption that voter coalitions and issue-saliences are central to the policy preferences of PRRPs. But the extent to which PRRPs can influence the policy output according to their policy preferences should rest on cabinet shares and the number/strength of veto possibilities. The analysis of this intersection between (1) policy preferences and (2) political capacities forms the theoretical framework of the present research project.