Modelling the labour market and the impact of the tax-benefit system on employment and GDP

拟议项目给国家带来的主要好处将是为分析一系列重要政策问题和作出决定建立一个更知情和更严格的基础。该项目将为分析劳动力市场以及税收和福利政策的变化制定一个比目前更具有经验性的建模框架。这些结果将帮助政策分析人士确定改革方向，以提高生活水平，实现更加平等的社会。该项目还将确定避免老龄化危机所需的改革，以及那些因对女性就业、家庭储蓄和生育率产生负面影响而抑制GDP增长的改革。

The key national benefit from the proposed project will be development of a more informed and rigorous basis for analysing and making decisions on an important set of policy issues. The project will develop a more empirically relevant modelling framework than currently available for analysing changes in the labour market and in tax and welfare policies. The results will assist policy analysts in identifying directions for reform that can raise living standards and achieve a more egalitarian society. The project will also identify reforms required to avert an ageing crisis, and those that inhibit GDP growth due to their negative effects on female employment, household saving and fertility.