Structural Change in Contemporary China --Interdisciplinary Approaches to Structural Change in China : In Quest of a New China Research Paradigm

经过20年的改革开放，中国实现了每年10%左右的经济增长，并作为一个地区大国进入了相互依存的世界。本研究从中心与地方的关系、经济市场化、国家与社会的关系、发展中的人、历史的延续性与断续性、与少数民族的关系、与亚太地区的台湾、香港的关系等七个主题分析了中国的这些变化。总队的工作包括设计新的分析方法，组织有关结构变化的跨学科研究，以及促进国际交流和公共信息。召开了6次全国学术大会，邀请了30位国外学者，与斯拉夫世界研究团队合作，与上海社会科学院举行了2次学术研讨会，出版了12卷《中国区域研究丛书》，收集了基础资料。我们就上述七个主题反复讨论，得出了初步结论；1)如果我们假设中国的蜕变有三个阶段，即伴随着市场化和民主化的第一次结构性变革、第二次结构性变革和体制变革，那么改革开放20年就是第一个阶段的开始。现在中国正进入亚洲金融危机推动的第二阶段。2)第一阶段的特征是传统的二元结构（中心/地方、计划/市场、国家/社会）向三边结构（中心/中/最低、计划/半市场/市场）转变。3)当我们展望中国的未来时，我们可以利用台湾和韩国的经验，作为从低发展到经济增长，从专制政权到民主（东亚模式）的有益借鉴。

In twenty years of reform-and-open up policy, China realized about 10% annual rate of growth and entered into the interdependent relations in the world, as a Regional Power.Our research analyzed these changes in China, focusing on seven specific themes which included center-local relations, marketization of economy, state-society relations, human beings in development, historical continuity and discontinuity, relations with the ethnic-minorities and Taiwan, Hongkong, China in Asia-Pacific region. The general team engaged in the work for contriving the new method of analysis, for organising interdisciplinary research on the structural changes, and in promoting the international exchanges and in the public information. We held six times general research assembly, invited 30 foreign scholars, collaborated with the research team on Slavic World, held symposium with Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences twice, published 12 volumes of Chinα Area Studies Series and collected basic materials.We talked over and over again on above mentioned seven themes and came to the provisional conclusion ; 1) if we assume that there are three stages of metamorphosis of China, the first structural change, the second structural change and systemic change which goes with the marketization and democratization, 20 years of reform and open-up policy was the beginning of the first stage. Now China is passing into the second stage urged by the Asian monetary crisis. 2) The feature of the first stage is that the traditional structure of dualism (center/local, planned/market, state/society) has changed into trilateral structure (center/middle/lowest, planed/half market/market). 3) When we see into the future of China, we can use the experience of Taiwan and South Korea, as the useful vandage, which transfered from the low development to economic growth, from the authoritarian-regime to the democracy (East Asian Model).