Evaluating the sources of growth and decline in Australia's State economies via historical/decomposition simulations with a dynamic multiregional fiscal model

澳大利亚各州经济在经济增长率方面存在着巨大的差异。很少有人对造成这种情况的潜在力量进行研究。然而，各州和联邦政府每年在表面上旨在促进国家增长的政策上花费数十亿美元。增长率的差异还可能导致代价高昂的人口流动，并且（通过促进人们对政策变化不平等结果的认识）可能阻碍许多有益的政策变化所需的政府间合作。本项目旨在建立一个动态的澳大利亚8区域CGE模型，并用它来研究相对州经济绩效的原因。

Australia's State economies have experienced wide disparities in economic growth rates. Little research has been undertaken on the underlying forces responsible for this. Nevertheless, State and Commonwealth governments spend several $billion annually on policies with the ostensible aim of promoting State growth. Disparities in growth rates also contribute to potentially costly movements in population, and (by promoting perceptions of unequal outcomes from policy change) may hinder the inter-government cooperation required for many beneficial policy changes. This project aims to develop a dynamic 8-region CGE model of Australia, and use it to investigate the causes of relative state economic performance.