Co-operative Research on Model Analyses for Regional Investment.

必须在有限的地方预算中规划有效的投资，同时考虑到公共部门和私营部门之间的公平伙伴关系。到目前为止，为地方投资规划开发了各种类型的区域模型。本研究旨在从投资效应扩散机制的角度对各种类型的区域模型进行综述，并探讨其在区域投资政策分析中的适用性。(1)区域经济循环中的投资效应地方公共部门在区域经济循环中发挥着重要的作用，它创造了当地的就业和需求。区域发展效应与财政效应之间的严重权衡是我们经常遇到的难题，尤其是在对公共部门进行控制的时候。然而，迄今为止，大多数区域模型只指出了发展效应，没有成功地分析财政效应。(2)建模理论与实践的最新发展。区域计量经济模型或其他行为的历史 ...更多信息 所有的模型进行审查，我们拿起他们的数学结构。每种模型都有自己的数学结构，这取决于所考虑的投资和效应扩散机制。LISREL模型成功地建立了基于偏好数据和行为结果数据的内隐结构模型，具有广泛的适用性。(3)大都市区的模式。在大都市区，重建有很大一部分的城市变化。因此，必须分析库存或供应商的行为。我们介绍适合这种供应方分析的模型。此外，还讨论了办公室公司选址或信托合同项目。(4)非大都市区的模式在非大都市区，存在着基于区域内存在的小功能的各种限制。我们引入区域非均衡模型来解释这种限制。基于非均衡性质，提出了参数估计方法。(5)模型应用时的其他主题。我们还讨论了其他主题，以获得更广泛的适用性。从不同的角度讨论了数据限制和估计技术、模型分析的风险以及大型项目的困难。少

Effective investment must be planned in restricted local budget, considering fair partnership between public sector and private sector. Various types of regional models were developed for local investment planning until now. This study aims to review a various types of regional models from the view point of investment effect spreading mechanism, and to discuss the applicability of them to regional investment policy analysis.(1) Investment Effects in Regional Economic CirculationLocal public sector seems to play important role in regional economic circulation, by producing local employments and demands. We meet usually the difficult problem induced to severe trade-off between regional development effect and fiscal effect, especially when we control public dept. However, most of regional models to date pointed out development effect only, do not succeed to analyze fiscal effect.(2) Recent Development of Modeling Tbeory and Practice.History of regional econometric models or other behavior … More al models are reviewed and we pick up their mathematical structures. Each of those models have it's own mathematical structure depending on the considering investment and effect-spreading mechanism. LISREL modelling has wide applicability because it succeeds to model implicit structure based on preference data and behavioral result data.(3) Models for Metropolitan Areas.In metropolitan area, redevelopments have large part of urban change. Therefore, stocks or supplier's behavior must be analyzed. We introduce models suitable for such supply-side analysis. Furthermore, office firm location or fiduciary contract project are discussed.(4) Models for Non-metropolitan Areas.In non-metropolitan areas, there are various restrictions based on small functions existing in the region. We introduce regional disequilibrium modeling to explain such restrictions. Parameter estimating methods are also suggested based on disequilibrium property.(5) Other Topics When Models Are Applied.We also discussed other topics in order to get wider applicability. Data restriction and estimation techniques, risks in model analysis, and difficulties of large scale projects are discussed from various points of view. Less